Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.1954346    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 H Michigan               Big Ten       ( 3-10, 89.2)    20-10   
 213 H Furman                 SoCon         ( 2-11, 87.0)    14- 6   
 220 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 9- 6, 92.3)     5-10   
 228 A Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       ( 8- 7, 94.8)    15-11   
 305 H Denver                 Big East      (13- 3, 96.5)    12-13  o
 312 A Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 4- 9, 92.3)     9-14   
 314 A Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 83.6)    18- 2   
 319 H Richmond               SoCon         (11- 5, 91.2)    15- 6   
 326 A Maryland               Big Ten       (17- 3, 97.3)     8-11   
 401 A Duke                   ACC           (11- 8, 96.3)    17-16  o
 410 H Virginia               ACC           ( 7- 8, 93.1)    16- 8   
 416 A Syracuse               ACC           (12- 5, 96.6)     7-13   
 423 H Notre Dame             ACC           (11- 4, 96.4)    17-15   
 429 N Syracuse               ACC           (12- 5, 96.6)     7-10   
 514 A Marquette              Big East      (11- 5, 93.9)    10- 9   
 522 N Notre Dame             ACC           (11- 4, 96.4)    13- 9   
 528 N Loyola                 Patriot       (14- 4, 95.0)    18-13   
 530 N Maryland               Big Ten       (17- 3, 97.3)    14-13  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Michigan               20-10      10     8           1.91
   213 H Furman                 14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   220 H Hofstra                 5-10      -5     5    ---  -10.00
   228 A Johns Hopkins          15-11       4     0    +      3.77
   305 H Denver                 12-13  o   -1     0          -1.87
   312 A Massachusetts           9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.77
   314 A Manhattan              18- 2      16    11           0.00
   319 H Richmond               15- 6       9     6    +      2.90
   326 A Maryland                8-11      -3    -2          -0.79
   401 A Duke                   17-16  o    1    -1    +      2.21
   410 H Virginia               16- 8       8     4    +      3.76
   416 A Syracuse                7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.48
   423 H Notre Dame             17-15       2     0           1.02
   429 N Syracuse                7-10      -3     0    -     -2.63
   514 A Marquette              10- 9       1     1          -0.18
   522 N Notre Dame             13- 9       4     0    ++     4.16
   528 N Loyola                 18-13       5     1    +      3.79
   530 N Maryland               14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Hofstra                 5-10      -5     5    ---  -10.00
   312 A Massachusetts           9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.77
   416 A Syracuse                7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.48
   213 H Furman                 14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   429 N Syracuse                7-10      -3     0    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 N Notre Dame             13- 9       4     0    ++     4.16
   228 A Johns Hopkins          15-11       4     0    +      3.77
   319 H Richmond               15- 6       9     6    +      2.90
   401 A Duke                   17-16  o    1    -1    +      2.21
   410 H Virginia               16- 8       8     4    +      3.76
   528 N Loyola                 18-13       5     1    +      3.79
   530 N Maryland               14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.20 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.10 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
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