Conf = ECAC-II                    Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2984238    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 A Wingate                South Atlanti (10- 6, 78.5)    13-12   
 220 A Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 6- 7, 79.6)    18- 6   
 227 H NYIT                   East Coast    (13- 5, 86.5)    12-10   
 305 H Lindenwood             ECAC-II       (10- 6, 81.5)    13- 9   
 309 H Florida Tech           Sunshine Stat ( 6- 7, 78.0)    11- 7   
 312 A Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 8- 7, 76.7)    16- 8   
 319 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (15- 3, 84.3)     8-11   
 326 H Limestone              Carolinas     (21- 1, 91.9)     8-19   
 402 H Lake Erie              ECAC-II       ( 9- 6, 82.5)     8-14   
 409 A Walsh                  ECAC-II       ( 5-10, 77.1)    11- 9   
 414 H Ohio Valley            ECAC-II       ( 3- 9, 67.5)    23- 0   
 416 A Indianapolis           ECAC-II       ( 8- 6, 79.4)     9- 7   
 423 H Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       ( 7- 5, 79.8)    15-16   
 427 A Alderson Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 5-10, 75.6)    13- 6   
 430 A Mercy                  East Coast    ( 9- 6, 81.6)    12- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Wingate                13-12       1     3    -     -2.83
   220 A Chestnut Hill          18- 6      12     2    +++    7.29
   227 H NYIT                   12-10       2    -2    ++     4.20
   305 H Lindenwood             13- 9       4     2           1.23
   309 H Florida Tech           11- 7       4     6    -     -2.22
   312 A Pfeiffer               16- 8       8     5    +      2.41
   319 A Mercyhurst              8-11      -3    -1          -1.06
   326 H Limestone               8-19     -11    -7    -     -2.37
   402 H Lake Erie               8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.81
   409 A Walsh                  11- 9       2     5    -     -3.22
   414 H Ohio Valley            23- 0      23    16           0.00
   416 A Indianapolis            9- 7       2     2          -0.89
   423 H Wheeling Jesuit        15-16      -1     4    --    -5.45
   427 A Alderson Broaddus      13- 6       7     6           0.28
   430 A Mercy                  12- 8       4     0    +      3.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Lake Erie               8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.81
   423 H Wheeling Jesuit        15-16      -1     4    --    -5.45
   213 A Wingate                13-12       1     3    -     -2.83
   309 H Florida Tech           11- 7       4     6    -     -2.22
   326 H Limestone               8-19     -11    -7    -     -2.37
   409 A Walsh                  11- 9       2     5    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Chestnut Hill          18- 6      12     2    +++    7.29
   227 H NYIT                   12-10       2    -2    ++     4.20
   312 A Pfeiffer               16- 8       8     5    +      2.41
   430 A Mercy                  12- 8       4     0    +      3.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.30 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.77 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/