Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9069214    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A Penn State             Big Ten       ( 8- 7, 93.7)     7-20   
 213 A Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 6- 9, 89.5)    10-11   
 220 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 83.6)    19- 6   
 227 H High Point             SoCon         ( 9- 6, 90.2)    10-15   
 305 H Air Force              SoCon         (15- 3, 92.3)    10-11   
 308 A Mercer                 SoCon         ( 5- 8, 87.7)    11-10  o
 312 A Marquette              Big East      (11- 5, 93.9)     5-13   
 319 H Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 2-14, 86.6)    12- 7   
 326 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6- 8, 88.8)    11- 9   
 402 H Bryant                 Northeast     (10- 5, 93.5)    12-13   
 409 A Hobart                 Northeast     (10- 7, 89.7)    10-16   
 419 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 4- 8, 87.0)    15- 6   
 423 H Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (12- 4, 92.8)    13- 8   
 430 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 6- 9, 84.3)    18-12   
 505 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (12- 4, 92.8)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Penn State              7-20     -13    -4    --    -5.05
   213 A Bellarmine             10-11      -1     0          -0.27
   220 H Manhattan              19- 6      13     7    +      2.51
   227 H High Point             10-15      -5     0    --    -5.84
   305 H Air Force              10-11      -1    -1           0.22
   308 A Mercer                 11-10  o    1     1          -0.07
   312 A Marquette               5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.89
   319 H Sacred Heart           12- 7       5     4           0.51
   326 A Mount St. Mary's       11- 9       2     0    +      2.03
   402 H Bryant                 12-13      -1    -2           1.42
   409 A Hobart                 10-16      -6     0    --    -5.04
   419 A Canisius               15- 6       9     1    +++    7.20
   423 H Saint Joseph's         13- 8       5    -1    +++    6.72
   430 A Wagner                 18-12       6     4           1.54
   505 A Saint Joseph's          7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Penn State              7-20     -13    -4    --    -5.05
   227 H High Point             10-15      -5     0    --    -5.84
   409 A Hobart                 10-16      -6     0    --    -5.04
   312 A Marquette               5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.89
   505 A Saint Joseph's          7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Canisius               15- 6       9     1    +++    7.20
   423 H Saint Joseph's         13- 8       5    -1    +++    6.72
   220 H Manhattan              19- 6      13     7    +      2.51
   326 A Mount St. Mary's       11- 9       2     0    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.91 Local Power Rank...........    42
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.49 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/