Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Atsen Bulus             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2800903    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 H Goucher                Landmark      ( 9- 6, 80.2)    11- 6   
 220 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (17- 3, 90.8)     4-12   
 302 A Frostburg State        Capital       (15- 4, 86.8)     6- 8   
 305 A Elizabethtown          Landmark      (12- 6, 84.3)     5- 7   
 309 N Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (13- 4, 90.5)     3-17   
 312 H Gwynedd Mercy          CSAC          (10- 5, 79.6)     8- 6   
 319 A Adrian                 MIAA          ( 2-13, 68.2)    16- 9   
 330 H Susquehanna            Landmark      (12- 5, 82.4)     9- 6   
 402 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6)     5- 9   
 406 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-11, 75.4)    16- 5   
 413 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 72.6)    12- 2   
 416 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 83.4)    10- 5   
 420 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (15- 5, 89.0)     6-11   
 423 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-12, 73.0)    10- 4   
 426 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-14, 68.7)    17- 2   
 430 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt (11- 8, 78.0)     6- 5   
 504 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 83.4)     5- 4   
 507 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (15- 5, 89.0)     3-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Goucher                11- 6       5     3           1.85
   220 A Gettysburg              4-12      -8    -9           1.68
   302 A Frostburg State         6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.63
   305 A Elizabethtown           5- 7      -2    -3           1.13
   309 N Ohio Wesleyan           3-17     -14    -8          -1.76
   312 H Gwynedd Mercy           8- 6       2     3          -1.81
   319 A Adrian                 16- 9       7    13    -     -3.00
   330 H Susquehanna             9- 6       3     1           1.98
   402 A Albright                5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.60
   406 A Lycoming               16- 5      11     5    ++     4.25
   413 H Hood                   12- 2      10    10           0.00
   416 H Widener                10- 5       5     0    ++     5.05
   420 A Stevenson               6-11      -5    -7    +      2.79
   423 A Arcadia                10- 4       6     8    -     -2.17
   426 H Alvernia               17- 2      15    14           0.00
   430 H Lebanon Valley          6- 5       1     5    --    -4.40
   504 H Widener                 5- 4       1     0           1.05
   507 A Stevenson               3-10      -7    -7           0.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Albright                5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.60
   430 H Lebanon Valley          6- 5       1     5    --    -4.40
   319 A Adrian                 16- 9       7    13    -     -3.00
   423 A Arcadia                10- 4       6     8    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Lycoming               16- 5      11     5    ++     4.25
   416 H Widener                10- 5       5     0    ++     5.05
   302 A Frostburg State         6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.63
   420 A Stevenson               6-11      -5    -7    +      2.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.28 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.65 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   137
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/