Conf = ECAC-II                    Region = South        State = MO
   Nickname = Lions                  Coach  = Jim Lange               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.5044022    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Shorter                Independent   ( 7- 7, 74.6)    19- 7   
 225 H CSU Pueblo             Rocky Mountai ( 3-11, 70.6)    24- 5   
 228 H Rollins                Sunshine Stat (10- 6, 80.0)     7-11   
 303 A Ohio Valley            ECAC-II       ( 3- 9, 67.5)    21- 6   
 305 A Seton Hill             ECAC-II       (11- 4, 83.3)     9-13   
 312 H Alderson Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 5-10, 75.6)     8- 7   
 319 H Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       ( 7- 5, 79.8)    13- 7   
 329 A Indianapolis           ECAC-II       ( 8- 6, 79.4)     3- 8   
 331 A Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 3-13, 75.0)    12- 4   
 402 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (15- 3, 84.3)     8- 7   
 409 H Lake Erie              ECAC-II       ( 9- 6, 82.5)     7- 8  o
 415 H Walsh                  ECAC-II       ( 5-10, 77.1)    10- 9   
 423 H Rockhurst              Rocky Mountai ( 9- 8, 76.4)    10- 5   
 429 N Colorado Mesa          Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 80.3)     9-10   
 506 N Lake Erie              ECAC-II       ( 9- 6, 82.5)     8- 6   
 508 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (15- 3, 84.3)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Shorter                19- 7      12     5    ++     4.06
   225 H CSU Pueblo             24- 5      19    11           0.00
   228 H Rollins                 7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.52
   303 A Ohio Valley            21- 6      15    13           0.00
   305 A Seton Hill              9-13      -4    -2          -1.23
   312 H Alderson Broaddus       8- 7       1     6    --    -5.87
   319 H Wheeling Jesuit        13- 7       6     2    +      3.35
   329 A Indianapolis            3- 8      -5     1    ---   -6.09
   331 A Roberts Wesleyan       12- 4       8     5    +      2.49
   402 A Mercyhurst              8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.73
   409 H Lake Erie               7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.02
   415 H Walsh                  10- 9       1     5    --    -4.37
   423 H Rockhurst              10- 5       5     6          -1.09
   429 N Colorado Mesa           9-10      -1     1    -     -2.19
   506 N Lake Erie               8- 6       2     0    +      2.96
   508 A Mercyhurst              7-11      -4    -3          -0.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Rollins                 7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.52
   329 A Indianapolis            3- 8      -5     1    ---   -6.09
   312 H Alderson Broaddus       8- 7       1     6    --    -5.87
   415 H Walsh                  10- 9       1     5    --    -4.37
   429 N Colorado Mesa           9-10      -1     1    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Shorter                19- 7      12     5    ++     4.06
   402 A Mercyhurst              8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.73
   319 H Wheeling Jesuit        13- 7       6     2    +      3.35
   331 A Roberts Wesleyan       12- 4       8     5    +      2.49
   506 N Lake Erie               8- 6       2     0    +      2.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.50 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.64 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/