Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bullets                Coach  = Hank Janczyk            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.8464355    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt (11- 7, 82.3)    12- 4   
 227 H Salisbury              Capital       (23- 1, 94.9)     7-10   
 305 A Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (12- 9, 87.9)    13- 9   
 309 A York                   Capital       (18- 4, 89.2)     7- 9   
 312 H Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (14- 6, 83.7)    10- 6   
 323 A Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 83.4)    10- 8   
 326 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 7- 8, 84.8)    12- 4   
 402 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 3-13, 78.5)    16- 2   
 410 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (12- 6, 82.5)    14- 4   
 413 A Dickinson              Centennial    ( 8- 7, 88.6)     9- 4   
 416 H Ursinus                Centennial    (14- 3, 88.7)    11- 6   
 423 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 3-12, 81.3)    12- 5   
 427 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 5, 85.8)    13- 5   
 430 A Washington College     Centennial    ( 7- 8, 83.9)    10- 3   
 504 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (12- 6, 82.5)    18- 8   
 507 H Ursinus                Centennial    (14- 3, 88.7)     9- 2   
 511 H Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (12- 9, 87.9)     8- 7   
 514 H Cabrini                CSAC          (15- 5, 91.2)    11-10  o
 518 A York                   Capital       (18- 4, 89.2)     7- 6  o
 522 A Salisbury              Capital       (23- 1, 94.9)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Messiah                12- 4       8     9          -1.68
   227 H Salisbury               7-10      -3    -2          -0.06
   305 A Lynchburg              13- 9       4     1    +      2.20
   309 A York                    7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.51
   312 H Eastern                10- 6       4     8    --    -4.31
   323 A Widener                10- 8       2     6    --    -4.28
   326 A Haverford              12- 4       8     4    +      3.08
   402 H Muhlenberg             16- 2      14    13           0.00
   410 H Swarthmore             14- 4      10     9           0.58
   413 A Dickinson               9- 4       5     1    +      3.86
   416 H Ursinus                11- 6       5     3           1.78
   423 A McDaniel               12- 5       7     8          -1.45
   427 H Franklin & Marshall    13- 5       8     6           1.79
   430 A Washington College     10- 3       7     5           1.17
   504 H Swarthmore             18- 8      10     9           0.58
   507 H Ursinus                 9- 2       7     3    +      3.78
   511 H Lynchburg               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.04
   514 H Cabrini                11-10  o    1     0           0.24
   518 A York                    7- 6  o    1     0           0.49
   522 A Salisbury               6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Eastern                10- 6       4     8    --    -4.31
   323 A Widener                10- 8       2     6    --    -4.28
   309 A York                    7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.51
   511 H Lynchburg               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.04
   522 A Salisbury               6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Lynchburg              13- 9       4     1    +      2.20
   326 A Haverford              12- 4       8     4    +      3.08
   413 A Dickinson               9- 4       5     1    +      3.86
   507 H Ursinus                 9- 2       7     3    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.85 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.92 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
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