Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = MA
   Nickname = Terriers               Coach  = Ryan Polley             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5800858    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 H Providence             Big East      ( 7- 9, 90.8)     9- 5   
 212 H UMass Lowell           America East  ( 4-12, 85.9)     8- 5   
 216 A High Point             SoCon         ( 9- 6, 90.2)    13-10   
 220 H Hartford               America East  (11- 7, 91.1)    10-16   
 227 H Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 94.7)    10- 9 2o
 305 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 4- 8, 87.0)    10- 8   
 312 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 4-10, 88.6)    11- 6   
 319 A Bucknell               Patriot       (10- 5, 93.3)     6-13   
 322 A Harvard                Ivy           ( 8- 8, 94.5)     9- 8   
 326 A Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-11, 86.0)    16- 6   
 402 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 6- 9, 90.7)     7- 8   
 409 H Army                   Patriot       (10- 7, 94.3)     4-15   
 416 A Loyola                 Patriot       (14- 4, 95.0)    12-13   
 422 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4-11, 89.4)     7-11   
 508 H Duke                   ACC           (11- 8, 96.3)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Providence              9- 5       4     0    +      3.09
   212 H UMass Lowell            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.82
   216 A High Point             13-10       3     0    +      3.78
   220 H Hartford               10-16      -6     0    ---   -6.65
   227 H Navy                   10- 9 2o    1    -3    ++     4.01
   305 A Canisius               10- 8       2     2          -0.47
   312 H Colgate                11- 6       5     3           1.90
   319 A Bucknell                6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.18
   322 A Harvard                 9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.09
   326 A Lafayette              16- 6      10     3    +++    6.56
   402 H Lehigh                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.01
   409 H Army                    4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.39
   416 A Loyola                 12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.55
   422 A Holy Cross              7-11      -4     0    -     -3.99
   508 H Duke                    8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Hartford               10-16      -6     0    ---   -6.65
   409 H Army                    4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.39
   212 H UMass Lowell            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.82
   319 A Bucknell                6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.18
   402 H Lehigh                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.01
   422 A Holy Cross              7-11      -4     0    -     -3.99
   508 H Duke                    8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Harvard                 9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.09
   326 A Lafayette              16- 6      10     3    +++    6.56
   227 H Navy                   10- 9 2o    1    -3    ++     4.01
   416 A Loyola                 12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.55
   206 H Providence              9- 5       4     0    +      3.09
   216 A High Point             13-10       3     0    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.58 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.60 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/