Conf = Ivy                        Region = Northeast    State = RI
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Lars Tiffany            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Quinnipiac             Metro Atlanti (12- 4, 91.1)    20- 7   
 227 A Stony Brook            America East  (12- 4, 94.9)    16-14   
 305 H Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 4- 9, 92.3)    15- 7   
 308 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4-11, 89.4)    20- 7   
 312 H Michigan               Big Ten       ( 3-10, 89.2)    22- 8   
 319 A Harvard                Ivy           ( 8- 8, 94.5)    11- 8   
 329 A Villanova              Big East      ( 9- 5, 95.6)    19- 8   
 402 H Princeton              Ivy           ( 5- 8, 90.9)    19- 8   
 405 H Bryant                 Northeast     (10- 5, 93.5)    10-11  o
 409 A Penn                   Ivy           ( 8- 7, 92.7)    17- 6   
 416 H Yale                   Ivy           (13- 3, 96.3)    14-12   
 419 H Providence             Big East      ( 7- 9, 90.8)    16-10   
 423 A Cornell                Ivy           ( 6- 7, 91.9)    22- 5   
 427 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 1-13, 85.0)    16- 3   
 430 N Virginia               ACC           ( 7- 8, 93.1)    19-11   
 506 H Harvard                Ivy           ( 8- 8, 94.5)    12-13   
 514 H Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       ( 8- 7, 94.8)    17- 8   
 521 H Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 94.7)    11-10   
 528 N Maryland               Big Ten       (17- 3, 97.3)    14-15  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Quinnipiac             20- 7      13     7    +      2.31
   227 A Stony Brook            16-14       2     3          -1.88
   305 H Massachusetts          15- 7       8     8          -0.77
   308 A Holy Cross             20- 7      13     9           0.69
   312 H Michigan               22- 8      14    11           0.00
   319 A Harvard                11- 8       3     4          -1.23
   329 A Villanova              19- 8      11     3    +++    6.82
   402 H Princeton              19- 8      11    10           0.00
   405 H Bryant                 10-11  o   -1     7    ---   -8.57
   409 A Penn                   17- 6      11     6    +      3.95
   416 H Yale                   14-12       2     4    -     -2.78
   419 H Providence             16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   423 A Cornell                22- 5      17     6    +      3.15
   427 H Dartmouth              16- 3      13    16           0.00
   430 N Virginia               19-11       8     6           1.20
   506 H Harvard                12-13      -1     6    ---   -7.51
   514 H Johns Hopkins          17- 8       9     6    +      2.77
   521 H Navy                   11-10       1     6    --    -5.31
   528 N Maryland               14-15  o   -1     2    -     -3.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Bryant                 10-11  o   -1     7    ---   -8.57
   506 H Harvard                12-13      -1     6    ---   -7.51
   419 H Providence             16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   521 H Navy                   11-10       1     6    --    -5.31
   416 H Yale                   14-12       2     4    -     -2.78
   528 N Maryland               14-15  o   -1     2    -     -3.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Villanova              19- 8      11     3    +++    6.82
   220 A Quinnipiac             20- 7      13     7    +      2.31
   409 A Penn                   17- 6      11     6    +      3.95
   423 A Cornell                22- 5      17     6    +      3.15
   514 H Johns Hopkins          17- 8       9     6    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.03 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   43.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/