Conf = Northeast 10               Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jim Murphy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6401672    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H NYIT                   East Coast    (13- 5, 86.5)     3- 8   
 315 A Catawba                South Atlanti ( 5-10, 75.8)    12-10   
 319 H Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 5- 8, 79.0)    11- 8   
 326 H Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 3-11, 78.6)    10- 9  o
 330 A S. New Hampshire       Northeast 10  (10- 6, 80.6)    12-13  o
 402 A Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  ( 5- 9, 79.3)     8- 7   
 408 A American International Northeast 10  ( 1-14, 67.8)    12- 2   
 412 A Saint Rose             Northeast 10  ( 3-13, 78.6)     8- 3   
 416 A Adelphi                Northeast 10  (12- 5, 86.4)     7-19   
 420 H Pace                   Northeast 10  (11- 6, 82.7)    10-11   
 423 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  (15- 3, 88.1)     8-12   
 426 A Saint Anselm           Northeast 10  ( 8- 6, 82.2)     8-14   
 429 H Le Moyne               Northeast 10  (20- 0, 90.8)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H NYIT                    3- 8      -5    -5           0.86
   315 A Catawba                12-10       2     2          -0.84
   319 H Franklin Pierce        11- 8       3     1           1.35
   326 H Assumption             10- 9  o    1     2          -1.06
   330 A S. New Hampshire       12-13  o   -1    -1           0.93
   402 A Saint Michael's         8- 7       1     0           1.59
   408 A American International 12- 2      10    10           0.00
   412 A Saint Rose              8- 3       5     0    ++     4.93
   416 A Adelphi                 7-19     -12    -7    -     -2.29
   420 H Pace                   10-11      -1    -2           1.10
   423 H Merrimack               8-12      -4    -7    +      3.52
   426 A Saint Anselm            8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.43
   429 H Le Moyne                2-17     -15   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Adelphi                 7-19     -12    -7    -     -2.29
   426 A Saint Anselm            8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Saint Rose              8- 3       5     0    ++     4.93
   423 H Merrimack               8-12      -4    -7    +      3.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.64 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.08 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/