Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = CA
   Nickname = Poets                  Coach  = Brian Kelly             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1686554    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 H Gordon                 CCC           ( 8-10, 77.9)    13-10   
 311 H Berry                  Southern      (12- 5, 77.7)    12- 9   
 313 H Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 7- 8, 81.4)    12-13   
 317 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt (13- 4, 84.8)     9-11   
 319 A Centenary              CSAC          ( 5-10, 73.3)     6- 4   
 321 N Wesleyan               NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 87.6)     8-13   
 328 A Aurora                 Midwest       (14- 8, 80.4)    12- 8   
 329 A Concordia-Wisconsin    Midwest       (10- 7, 77.1)     7- 8   
 410 H Colorado College       Independent   (11- 4, 83.9)     3- 9   
 411 H Carthage               CCIW          (16- 5, 78.6)    14- 7   
 424 A Colorado College       Independent   (11- 4, 83.9)     6-10   
 426 N Southwestern           Independent   ( 6-10, 70.6)    21- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Gordon                 13-10       3     4          -1.69
   311 H Berry                  12- 9       3     4          -1.95
   313 H Swarthmore             12-13      -1     1    -     -2.19
   317 A Albright                9-11      -2    -5    +      3.03
   319 A Centenary               6- 4       2     6    --    -4.40
   321 N Wesleyan                8-13      -5    -6           1.39
   328 A Aurora                 12- 8       4     0    ++     4.67
   329 A Concordia-Wisconsin     7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.67
   410 H Colorado College        3- 9      -6    -1    --    -4.73
   411 H Carthage               14- 7       7     4    +      2.95
   424 A Colorado College        6-10      -4    -4           0.15
   426 N Southwestern           21- 4      17    10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Centenary               6- 4       2     6    --    -4.40
   410 H Colorado College        3- 9      -6    -1    --    -4.73
   313 H Swarthmore             12-13      -1     1    -     -2.19
   329 A Concordia-Wisconsin     7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Aurora                 12- 8       4     0    ++     4.67
   317 A Albright                9-11      -2    -5    +      3.03
   411 H Carthage               14- 7       7     4    +      2.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.17 Local Power Rank...........    61
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.17 Local SOS Rank.............    67
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   217
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    88
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/