Conf = ECAC-II                    Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4834976    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 A Ohio Valley            ECAC-II       ( 0-15, 69.6)    19- 3   
 222 H Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 6- 7, 80.1)    15- 3   
 228 H Mercy                  East Coast    (10- 7, 83.6)    12-11   
 307 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (10- 5, 85.1)    13-12   
 314 A Limestone              Carolinas     (20- 1, 91.9)    11-12  o
 321 H Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       ( 8- 6, 85.9)    10- 8   
 324 H Walsh                  ECAC-II       ( 3-10, 75.4)    13- 4   
 328 A Molloy                 East Coast    (11- 4, 83.3)     6- 7   
 404 H Alderson Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 4- 9, 73.0)    18- 5   
 411 A Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (15- 3, 87.7)    12-11   
 414 A Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       ( 8- 6, 83.4)    11- 7   
 418 A NYIT                   East Coast    (12- 4, 87.3)     8- 9   
 425 A Lindenwood             ECAC-II       (14- 4, 85.7)    10-11  o
 501 H Lindenwood             ECAC-II       (14- 4, 85.7)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Ohio Valley            19- 3      16    15           0.00
   222 H Chestnut Hill          15- 3      12     7    +      2.68
   228 H Mercy                  12-11       1     3    -     -2.82
   307 H Pfeiffer               13-12       1     2          -1.30
   314 A Limestone              11-12  o   -1    -6    ++     5.36
   321 H Mercyhurst             10- 8       2     1           0.51
   324 H Walsh                  13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   328 A Molloy                  6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.21
   404 H Alderson Broaddus      18- 5      13    14           0.00
   411 A Lake Erie              12-11       1    -2    +      3.14
   414 A Wheeling Jesuit        11- 7       4     2           1.86
   418 A NYIT                    8- 9      -1    -1           0.78
   425 A Lindenwood             10-11  o   -1     0          -0.86
   501 H Lindenwood              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Mercy                  12-11       1     3    -     -2.82
   328 A Molloy                  6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.21
   501 H Lindenwood              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Limestone              11-12  o   -1    -6    ++     5.36
   222 H Chestnut Hill          15- 3      12     7    +      2.68
   411 A Lake Erie              12-11       1    -2    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.48 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.79 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/