Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Atsen Bulus             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6721497    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (16- 5, 90.3)     1-13   
 228 H Elizabethtown          Landmark      (14- 3, 82.2)     6- 5   
 304 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (20- 1, 90.9)     7-18   
 307 A York                   Capital       (10- 9, 84.6)     8- 7   
 311 A Goucher                Landmark      ( 7- 7, 79.7)     4- 7   
 314 A Gwynedd Mercy          CSAC          (11- 5, 79.9)     7- 6   
 318 A Virginia Wesleyan      Old Dominion  (10- 6, 79.9)     9- 7   
 325 A Susquehanna            Landmark      (12- 4, 81.1)     7- 3   
 401 A Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt ( 6-10, 71.6)     9- 2   
 408 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-12, 74.5)    13- 6   
 411 A Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 9, 76.3)    11- 7   
 415 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt (13- 4, 84.8)     9- 8  o
 418 A Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6)     4- 5   
 421 A Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 66.3)    11- 4   
 425 H Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 73.5)    14- 6   
 429 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt (13- 4, 84.8)     7- 6   
 502 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (16- 5, 90.3)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Stevenson               1-13     -12    -7    -     -2.84
   228 H Elizabethtown           6- 5       1     0           0.08
   304 H Gettysburg              7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.18
   307 A York                    8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.33
   311 A Goucher                 4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.49
   314 A Gwynedd Mercy           7- 6       1     0           0.66
   318 A Virginia Wesleyan       9- 7       2     0           1.68
   325 A Susquehanna             7- 3       4     0    ++     4.84
   401 A Hood                    9- 2       7     8          -1.66
   408 H Lycoming               13- 6       7     8          -1.63
   411 A Lebanon Valley         11- 7       4     3           0.07
   415 H Albright                9- 8  o    1    -1    +      2.65
   418 A Widener                 4- 5      -1     0          -0.65
   421 A Alvernia               11- 4       7    13    -     -3.00
   425 H Arcadia                14- 6       8     9          -1.63
   429 H Albright                7- 6       1    -1    +      2.65
   502 A Stevenson               4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Stevenson               1-13     -12    -7    -     -2.84
   304 H Gettysburg              7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.18
   311 A Goucher                 4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.49
   421 A Alvernia               11- 4       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Stevenson               4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   307 A York                    8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.33
   325 A Susquehanna             7- 3       4     0    ++     4.84
   415 H Albright                9- 8  o    1    -1    +      2.65
   429 H Albright                7- 6       1    -1    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.67 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.15 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   131
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/