Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Blazers                Coach  = Brad Barber             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5709000    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 A Southern Virginia      Capital       ( 2-14, 66.2)     8- 7   
 228 H Shenandoah             Old Dominion  ( 4-12, 75.0)     7-11   
 302 H Rosemont               CSAC          ( 3-11, 69.0)    13- 8   
 304 H Marymount              Capital       ( 5-10, 78.9)     4-13   
 307 A Bridgewater            Old Dominion  ( 6-11, 75.2)     6- 5   
 311 H Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          (11- 7, 76.7)     4-16   
 314 A Saint Vincent          Ohio River    ( 9- 7, 73.1)     3- 8   
 321 A Delaware Valley        MAC-Freedom   ( 5- 8, 71.2)     9- 7   
 325 A Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 9, 76.3)     9-12   
 328 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6)     2-13   
 401 H Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt (12- 5, 81.7)     2- 9   
 407 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (16- 5, 90.3)     2-20   
 411 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 66.3)    11- 5   
 415 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-12, 74.5)     9- 8   
 418 H Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 73.5)     5- 7   
 425 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt (13- 4, 84.8)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Southern Virginia       8- 7       1     3    -     -2.93
   228 H Shenandoah              7-11      -4    -2          -1.97
   302 H Rosemont               13- 8       5     4           0.96
   304 H Marymount               4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.14
   307 A Bridgewater             6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.05
   311 H Illinois Wesleyan       4-16     -12    -3    ---   -6.29
   314 A Saint Vincent           3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.06
   321 A Delaware Valley         9- 7       2    -1    +      3.07
   325 A Lebanon Valley          9-12      -3    -6    +      3.17
   328 H Widener                 2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.43
   401 H Messiah                 2- 9      -7    -8           1.66
   407 A Stevenson               2-20     -18   -20           0.00
   411 H Alvernia               11- 5       6     6          -0.69
   415 A Lycoming                9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.35
   418 H Arcadia                 5- 7      -2     0          -1.53
   425 A Albright                2-15     -13   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Illinois Wesleyan       4-16     -12    -3    ---   -6.29
   214 A Southern Virginia       8- 7       1     3    -     -2.93
   304 H Marymount               4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.14
   314 A Saint Vincent           3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.06
   328 H Widener                 2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Bridgewater             6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.05
   415 A Lycoming                9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.35
   321 A Delaware Valley         9- 7       2    -1    +      3.07
   325 A Lebanon Valley          9-12      -3    -6    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.57 Local Power Rank...........   156
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.70 Local SOS Rank.............   117
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............   173
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    98
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   164
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/