Conf = North Coast                Region = South        State = OH
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Mike Caravana           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6078949    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 N Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (12- 7, 86.1)     5-11   
 225 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (12- 7, 86.1)    11-13   
 302 A DePauw                 North Coast   ( 6- 9, 75.8)    20- 2   
 308 H Sewanee                Southern      (11- 4, 81.1)    13- 2   
 311 H Albion                 MIAA          (13- 6, 81.9)    18- 6   
 315 H Aurora                 Midwest       (14- 8, 80.4)    19-10   
 318 N St. Mary's             Capital       ( 5- 8, 82.3)    14-12   
 321 N Montclair State        Skyline       (13- 6, 85.8)    12-11   
 328 H Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 9- 6, 81.1)    13- 6   
 331 A Hiram                  North Coast   ( 3-10, 62.5)    15- 1   
 404 H Oberlin                North Coast   ( 8- 7, 76.5)    13- 6   
 412 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (18- 1, 89.7)     8- 9   
 415 A Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 9- 7, 81.8)    17- 6   
 418 H Wabash                 North Coast   ( 1-12, 61.1)    22- 1   
 420 H Wooster                North Coast   ( 9- 7, 81.4)    18- 7   
 422 H Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 9- 6, 81.1)    19- 5   
 425 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (18- 1, 89.7)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 N Washington & Lee        5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.48
   225 A Roanoke                11-13      -2     0    -     -2.05
   302 A DePauw                 20- 2      18    10           0.00
   308 H Sewanee                13- 2      11     7    +      2.01
   311 H Albion                 18- 6      12     7    +      2.87
   315 H Aurora                 19-10       9     8           0.36
   318 N St. Mary's             14-12       2     5    -     -3.34
   321 N Montclair State        12-11       1     1          -0.76
   328 H Wittenberg             13- 6       7     7          -0.98
   331 A Hiram                  15- 1      14    23           0.00
   404 H Oberlin                13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   412 A Ohio Wesleyan           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.52
   415 A Kenyon                 17- 6      11     4    ++     5.62
   418 H Wabash                 22- 1      21    27           0.00
   420 H Wooster                18- 7      11     7    +      2.33
   422 H Wittenberg             19- 5      14     7    +      2.02
   425 A Ohio Wesleyan           8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 N Washington & Lee        5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.48
   225 A Roanoke                11-13      -2     0    -     -2.05
   318 N St. Mary's             14-12       2     5    -     -3.34
   404 H Oberlin                13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Kenyon                 17- 6      11     4    ++     5.62
   308 H Sewanee                13- 2      11     7    +      2.01
   311 H Albion                 18- 6      12     7    +      2.87
   412 A Ohio Wesleyan           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.52
   420 H Wooster                18- 7      11     7    +      2.33
   422 H Wittenberg             19- 5      14     7    +      2.02
   425 A Ohio Wesleyan           8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.61 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.66 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   10.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/