Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5994797    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Bellarmine             ECAC          ( 7- 5, 91.4)     7-10   
 223 H Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 88.1)    11- 7   
 301 A Drexel                 Colonial      (13- 5, 94.4)    12-18   
 309 H Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (11- 4, 91.9)     8-11   
 312 A Siena                  Metro Atlanti (11- 6, 91.7)    10- 9  o
 315 A Hobart                 Northeast     ( 5-10, 89.3)     6- 8   
 322 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  ( 4- 9, 88.5)    13- 9   
 325 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 1-15, 85.3)    15- 8   
 329 H Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 6- 9, 87.8)     7- 9   
 402 A Maryland               ACC           (13- 4, 98.4)     6-19   
 405 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 2-11, 82.7)    12- 7   
 412 A Notre Dame             ACC           (12- 6, 98.1)     5-15   
 419 H Bryant                 Northeast     (16- 5, 93.2)     6-13   
 426 A Michigan               ECAC          ( 5-11, 89.8)    10-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Bellarmine              7-10      -3    -3           0.75
   223 H Detroit                11- 7       4     1    +      2.53
   301 A Drexel                 12-18      -6    -6           0.75
   309 H Saint Joseph's          8-11      -3    -2          -0.63
   312 A Siena                  10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.04
   315 A Hobart                  6- 8      -2    -1          -0.36
   322 H Jacksonville           13- 9       4     1    +      2.93
   325 A Mount St. Mary's       15- 8       7     2    ++     4.66
   329 H Sacred Heart            7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.79
   402 A Maryland                6-19     -13   -10           0.00
   405 A Wagner                 12- 7       5     4           0.08
   412 A Notre Dame              5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   419 H Bryant                  6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.34
   426 A Michigan               10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Michigan               10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.86
   329 H Sacred Heart            7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.79
   419 H Bryant                  6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Siena                  10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.04
   325 A Mount St. Mary's       15- 8       7     2    ++     4.66
   223 H Detroit                11- 7       4     1    +      2.53
   322 H Jacksonville           13- 9       4     1    +      2.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.60 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.79 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/