Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jason Lange             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2800827    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 H Florida Southern       Sunshine Stat (11- 4, 87.4)    15- 9   
 216 A Mars Hill              South Atlanti ( 7- 8, 82.7)    18-11   
 223 A Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 0-14, 64.7)    25- 2   
 301 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (12- 4, 87.3)     5-12   
 311 H Dominican U.           WILA          ( 9- 3, 86.4)    21-13   
 315 H Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (10- 4, 86.9)     6- 4   
 322 H Seton Hill             ECAC-II       (10- 6, 85.1)     8- 7   
 326 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 6-10, 81.9)    13-10   
 328 N Catawba                South Atlanti ( 7- 8, 81.6)    10- 9  o
 402 H Mount Olive            Carolinas     (13- 3, 86.1)    10-11  o
 408 N Queens U. of Charlotte South Atlanti (12- 5, 85.2)     8-14   
 412 A Saint Leo              Sunshine Stat ( 8- 7, 84.6)    15- 8   
 419 A Limestone              Carolinas     (19- 1, 91.9)     6-16   
 423 A Mount Olive            Carolinas     (13- 3, 86.1)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Florida Southern       15- 9       6     0    ++     5.94
   216 A Mars Hill              18-11       7     2    ++     4.68
   223 A Lees-McRae             25- 2      23    20           0.00
   301 A Mercyhurst              5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.80
   311 H Dominican U.           21-13       8     1    +++    6.90
   315 H Lake Erie               6- 4       2     0           1.40
   322 H Seton Hill              8- 7       1     2          -1.42
   326 H Belmont Abbey          13-10       3     5    -     -2.59
   328 N Catawba                10- 9  o    1     4    -     -3.64
   402 H Mount Olive            10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.45
   408 N Queens U. of Charlotte  8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.06
   412 A Saint Leo              15- 8       7     0    +++    6.55
   419 A Limestone               6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.16
   423 A Mount Olive             6-10      -4     0    -     -3.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 N Queens U. of Charlotte  8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.06
   301 A Mercyhurst              5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.80
   326 H Belmont Abbey          13-10       3     5    -     -2.59
   328 N Catawba                10- 9  o    1     4    -     -3.64
   402 H Mount Olive            10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.45
   419 A Limestone               6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.16
   423 A Mount Olive             6-10      -4     0    -     -3.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Dominican U.           21-13       8     1    +++    6.90
   412 A Saint Leo              15- 8       7     0    +++    6.55
   207 H Florida Southern       15- 9       6     0    ++     5.94
   216 A Mars Hill              18-11       7     2    ++     4.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.28 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.52 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/