Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Dan Mahar               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.4444122    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Guilford               Old Dominion  ( 9- 6, 81.8)     6-12   
 301 A Farmingdale State      Skyline       ( 8- 6, 77.9)     8- 9  o
 305 H Union                  Liberty       (15- 4, 89.7)     6- 8   
 308 A Rensselaer             Liberty       (11- 5, 86.7)     6-10   
 311 A Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 3-11, 75.3)     9- 5   
 315 H Elizabethtown          MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 79.4)     6- 7   
 319 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (15- 5, 88.2)     6-15   
 322 A Wheaton                NEWMAC        ( 5- 9, 76.8)     6-11   
 325 N Marywood               CSAC          (10- 9, 80.1)    11- 7   
 329 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 4- 9, 80.8)    11- 9   
 405 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 5- 8, 81.7)    10- 8   
 412 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (17- 4, 90.3)     7-21   
 419 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        (10- 6, 81.8)    10-12   
 423 A Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (13- 6, 86.1)     4-22   
 426 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 6- 9, 80.7)    13-11   
 430 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (17- 4, 90.3)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Guilford                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.47
   301 A Farmingdale State       8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.36
   305 H Union                   6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.11
   308 A Rensselaer              6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.39
   311 A Hartwick                9- 5       4     2           1.00
   315 H Elizabethtown           6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.14
   319 H Ithaca                  6-15      -9    -7          -1.39
   322 A Wheaton                 6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.50
   325 N Marywood               11- 7       4     0    ++     4.67
   329 H Brockport              11- 9       2     0    +      2.22
   405 H Geneseo                10- 8       2    -1    +      3.11
   412 A Cortland                7-21     -14   -11           0.00
   419 A Potsdam                10-12      -2    -3           1.49
   423 A Plattsburgh             4-22     -18    -7    -     -2.17
   426 H Oswego                 13-11       2     0    +      2.07
   430 A Cortland                3-15     -12   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Wheaton                 6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.50
   222 A Guilford                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.47
   315 H Elizabethtown           6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.14
   423 A Plattsburgh             4-22     -18    -7    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Union                   6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.11
   308 A Rensselaer              6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.39
   325 N Marywood               11- 7       4     0    ++     4.67
   329 H Brockport              11- 9       2     0    +      2.22
   405 H Geneseo                10- 8       2    -1    +      3.11
   426 H Oswego                 13-11       2     0    +      2.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.44 Local Power Rank...........    90
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.11 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............   104
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   151
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   154
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
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