Colorado Mesa                 9 - 3


 
   Conf = WILA                       Region = South        State = CO
   Nickname = Mavericks              Coach  = A.J. Stevens            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   91.6707382    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 H Adams State            WILA          ( 4- 8, 79.7)    11- 5   
 318 H Rockhurst              Independent   ( 1- 8, 65.5)    21- 3   
 323 A Rollins                Sunshine Stat ( 6- 9, 81.2)    11- 9   
 326 A Tampa                  Sunshine Stat (16- 3, 89.0)     9-10   
 328 A Florida Southern       Sunshine Stat (11- 4, 87.4)     6-15   
 330 A Lynn                   Sunshine Stat ( 1-10, 71.3)    18- 7   
 404 H Notre Dame de Namur    WILA          ( 8- 8, 73.0)     8- 7   
 413 H Dominican U.           WILA          ( 9- 3, 86.4)     9- 8   
 419 A Colorado College       SCAC          (10- 6, 83.4)     7- 5   
 425 A Notre Dame de Namur    WILA          ( 8- 8, 73.0)    20- 6   
 427 A Dominican U.           WILA          ( 9- 3, 86.4)    10-12   
 502 A Adams State            WILA          ( 4- 8, 79.7)    10- 7   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Adams State            11- 5       6     5           0.84
   318 H Rockhurst              21- 3      18    19           0.00
   323 A Rollins                11- 9       2     1           0.70
   326 A Tampa                   9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.57
   328 A Florida Southern        6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.00
   330 A Lynn                   18- 7      11    11           0.00
   404 H Notre Dame de Namur     8- 7       1    11    ---   -9.00
   413 H Dominican U.            9- 8       1    -1    +      2.51
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5       2     0          n/a  
   425 A Notre Dame de Namur    20- 6      14     9           0.58
   427 A Dominican U.           10-12      -2    -3           1.96
   502 A Adams State            10- 7       3     2           0.29


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Notre Dame de Namur     8- 7       1    11    ---   -9.00
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5   
   328 A Florida Southern        6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.00
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5   
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5   


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5   
   326 A Tampa                   9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.57
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5   
   413 H Dominican U.            9- 8       1    -1    +      2.51
   419 A Colorado College        7- 5   




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.67 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.97 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0


  
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