Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Chris Scanlon           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1427917    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 A Dickinson              Centennial    ( 9- 7, 87.2)     4-17   
 222 H Susquehanna            Landmark      (11- 8, 80.5)     8- 9   
 305 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (15- 5, 88.2)     3-15   
 308 H Scranton               Landmark      (10- 7, 82.1)     5-12   
 311 N Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 5- 8, 81.7)    10-15   
 315 A Fairleigh Dickinson    MAC Freedom   ( 8- 8, 74.5)    12- 5   
 322 A Gwynedd Mercy          CSAC          ( 8- 6, 79.2)     7- 6   
 326 A Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 79.8)     7- 5   
 329 A Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 2-15, 66.2)    15- 5   
 402 H Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 9, 80.5)     6- 2   
 405 A Hood                   MAC Commonwlt ( 4-12, 74.9)    13- 4   
 409 H Elizabethtown          MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 79.4)     6-13   
 412 A Widener                MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 6, 83.6)     3-12   
 417 H Albright               MAC Commonwlt (13- 6, 84.9)     6-14   
 426 H Stevenson              MAC Commonwlt (19- 3, 91.5)     7-20   
 429 H Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 9, 80.5)     8- 7   
 501 A Stevenson              MAC Commonwlt (19- 3, 91.5)     5-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Dickinson               4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   222 H Susquehanna             8- 9      -1    -1           0.19
   305 A Ithaca                  3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   308 H Scranton                5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.22
   311 N Geneseo                10-15      -5    -3          -1.45
   315 A Fairleigh Dickinson    12- 5       7     2    ++     4.51
   322 A Gwynedd Mercy           7- 6       1    -2    +      3.16
   326 A Lebanon Valley          7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.83
   329 A Alvernia               15- 5      10    10           0.00
   402 H Messiah                 6- 2       4    -1    ++     5.20
   405 A Hood                   13- 4       9     2    +++    6.93
   409 H Elizabethtown           6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.84
   412 A Widener                 3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.38
   417 H Albright                6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.38
   426 H Stevenson               7-20     -13   -12           0.00
   429 H Messiah                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.20
   501 A Stevenson               5-24     -19   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Elizabethtown           6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.84
   308 H Scranton                5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.22
   412 A Widener                 3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.38
   417 H Albright                6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Hood                   13- 4       9     2    +++    6.93
   315 A Fairleigh Dickinson    12- 5       7     2    ++     4.51
   326 A Lebanon Valley          7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.83
   402 H Messiah                 6- 2       4    -1    ++     5.20
   322 A Gwynedd Mercy           7- 6       1    -2    +      3.16
   429 H Messiah                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.14 Local Power Rank...........   101
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.66 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    97
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   114
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   145
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3
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