Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Mountain Hawks         Coach  = Kevin Cassese           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8325958    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 201 A Furman                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-12, 84.9)    13- 6   
 208 H Marquette              Big East      ( 6-10, 91.3)    13- 6   
 216 H Villanova              Big East      ( 6-10, 93.5)     7- 6 3o
 222 A Boston U.              Patriot       ( 2-12, 87.9)    10- 7   
 301 H Loyola                 Patriot       (15- 2, 98.2)     7-14   
 308 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 7- 8, 92.1)     9- 3   
 311 A Yale                   Ivy           ( 9- 5, 95.1)     2-10   
 315 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 4-10, 91.5)    13- 2   
 322 A Army                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 94.1)     5- 6   
 326 H Monmouth               Metro Atlanti ( 0-13, 85.0)    13- 7   
 329 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 3-12, 87.2)    20- 4   
 405 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 9- 7, 91.7)    11- 7   
 408 A Princeton              Ivy           ( 7- 6, 94.9)     9-10 2o
 412 N Georgetown             Big East      ( 4-10, 90.2)    12- 3   
 418 A Lafayette              Patriot       ( 2-11, 85.6)    17- 6   
 422 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 4-10, 91.5)    10- 6   
 425 N Army                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 94.1)    12-11   
 427 A Loyola                 Patriot       (15- 2, 98.2)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Furman                 13- 6       7     9    -     -2.02
   208 H Marquette              13- 6       7     4    +      2.48
   216 H Villanova               7- 6 3o    1     2          -1.29
   222 A Boston U.              10- 7       3     5    -     -2.96
   301 H Loyola                  7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.61
   308 A Bucknell                9- 3       6     1    ++     4.19
   311 A Yale                    2-10      -8    -1    ---   -6.78
   315 H Navy                   13- 2      11     4    ++     5.75
   322 A Army                    5- 6      -1     0          -0.78
   326 H Monmouth               13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   329 H Holy Cross             20- 4      16     8           1.45
   405 H Colgate                11- 7       4     4          -0.05
   408 A Princeton               9-10 2o   -1     0          -0.02
   412 N Georgetown             12- 3       9     4    ++     4.40
   418 A Lafayette              17- 6      11     8           1.68
   422 H Navy                   10- 6       4     4          -0.25
   425 N Army                   12-11       1     0           0.26
   427 A Loyola                  7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Yale                    2-10      -8    -1    ---   -6.78
   301 H Loyola                  7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.61
   326 H Monmouth               13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   427 A Loyola                  7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.69
   201 A Furman                 13- 6       7     9    -     -2.02
   222 A Boston U.              10- 7       3     5    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Bucknell                9- 3       6     1    ++     4.19
   315 H Navy                   13- 2      11     4    ++     5.75
   412 N Georgetown             12- 3       9     4    ++     4.40
   208 H Marquette              13- 6       7     4    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.83 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.37 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/