Conf = Independent                Region = Southeast    State = MD
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Dave Pietramala         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.7005615    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H Ohio State             ECAC          ( 6- 8, 93.9)    10- 9 3o
 215 H Towson                 Colonial      ( 8- 7, 91.4)    15- 8   
 222 H Michigan               ECAC          ( 5-11, 89.8)    14- 5   
 301 A Princeton              Ivy           ( 7- 6, 94.9)    15- 9   
 308 A UMBC                   America East  ( 8- 7, 91.5)    15- 8   
 315 H Syracuse               ACC           (11- 5, 96.8)    10-12   
 322 A Virginia               ACC           (10- 6, 96.2)    10-11  o
 329 H North Carolina         ACC           (10- 5, 98.8)     9-13   
 404 H Albany                 America East  (12- 6, 97.8)    13- 8   
 412 H Maryland               ACC           (13- 4, 98.4)    11- 6   
 414 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 1-15, 85.3)    17- 2   
 418 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 4-10, 91.5)     6- 5   
 423 H Villanova              Big East      ( 6-10, 93.5)    13- 7   
 503 A Loyola                 Patriot       (15- 2, 98.2)    10-13   
 511 A Virginia               ACC           (10- 6, 96.2)    14- 8   
 518 N Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 99.9)    11-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Ohio State             10- 9 3o    1     4    -     -3.73
   215 H Towson                 15- 8       7     7          -0.30
   222 H Michigan               14- 5       9     8           0.12
   301 A Princeton              15- 9       6     1    ++     4.11
   308 A UMBC                   15- 8       7     5           1.77
   315 H Syracuse               10-12      -2     1    -     -3.85
   322 A Virginia               10-11  o   -1     0          -1.51
   329 H North Carolina          9-13      -4     0    -     -3.88
   404 H Albany                 13- 8       5     0    ++     4.18
   412 H Maryland               11- 6       5     0    ++     4.76
   414 A Mount St. Mary's       17- 2      15    11           0.00
   418 A Navy                    6- 5       1     5    --    -4.20
   423 H Villanova              13- 7       6     5           0.84
   503 A Loyola                 10-13      -3    -1          -1.56
   511 A Virginia               14- 8       6     0    ++     5.49
   518 N Duke                   11-19      -8    -2    --    -5.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Navy                    6- 5       1     5    --    -4.20
   518 N Duke                   11-19      -8    -2    --    -5.80
   209 H Ohio State             10- 9 3o    1     4    -     -3.73
   315 H Syracuse               10-12      -2     1    -     -3.85
   329 H North Carolina          9-13      -4     0    -     -3.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Princeton              15- 9       6     1    ++     4.11
   404 H Albany                 13- 8       5     0    ++     4.18
   412 H Maryland               11- 6       5     0    ++     4.76
   511 A Virginia               14- 8       6     0    ++     5.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.70 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.39 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/