Jacksonville                  4 - 9


 
   Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = Southeast    State = FL
   Nickname = Dolphins               Coach  = Guy Van Arsdale         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.4899902    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 A Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 99.9)    10-16   
 216 H Notre Dame             ACC           (12- 6, 98.1)     7-19   
 222 H Bellarmine             ECAC          ( 7- 5, 91.4)     4- 8   
 301 A High Point             Atlantic Sun  ( 9- 7, 89.8)     7- 8   
 308 H Marquette              Big East      ( 6-10, 91.3)     9- 8   
 315 H Air Force              ECAC          (11- 6, 93.4)    12-15   
 322 A Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 5- 9, 88.6)     9-13   
 329 A Ohio State             ECAC          ( 6- 8, 93.9)     2-13   
 405 H VMI                    Atlantic Sun  ( 2-12, 83.4)    14- 5   
 412 H Mercer                 Atlantic Sun  ( 7- 7, 86.8)    14-12   
 420 A Richmond               Atlantic Sun  ( 6-11, 88.0)    12-13   
 426 A Furman                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-12, 84.9)    13-11   
 501 N High Point             Atlantic Sun  ( 9- 7, 89.8)    11-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Duke                   10-16      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   216 H Notre Dame              7-19     -12    -8          -1.35
   222 H Bellarmine              4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.06
   301 A High Point              7- 8      -1    -2           1.32
   308 H Marquette               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.82
   315 H Air Force              12-15      -3    -3           0.98
   322 A Robert Morris           9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.93
   329 A Ohio State              2-13     -11    -6    -     -3.60
   405 H VMI                    14- 5       9     6    +      2.96
   412 H Mercer                 14-12       2     2          -0.61
   420 A Richmond               12-13      -1     0          -0.58
   426 A Furman                 13-11       2     2          -0.68
   501 N High Point             11-12      -1    -1           0.36


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Bellarmine              4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.06
   322 A Robert Morris           9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.93
   329 A Ohio State              2-13     -11    -6    -     -3.60


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Duke                   10-16      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   308 H Marquette               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.82
   405 H VMI                    14- 5       9     6    +      2.96




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.49 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.77 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0


  
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