Conf = Midwest                    Region = South        State = IL
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Mark Morrell            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.0740585    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Beloit                 Independent   ( 9- 6, 73.0)     7- 8   
 301 A DePauw                 North Coast   ( 3-12, 71.5)     6-14   
 308 H Calvin                 MIAA          ( 2-12, 64.1)     9- 0   
 315 H Adrian                 MIAA          (13- 4, 82.1)     4-14   
 319 H Aurora                 Midwest       (16- 4, 85.7)     4-16   
 322 H MSoE                   Midwest       ( 2-12, 63.3)    12- 6   
 325 A Hendrix                Southern      ( 7-10, 72.3)     7- 6 2o
 329 A Fontbonne              Midwest       ( 3-12, 62.1)    11- 8   
 402 H Benedictine            Midwest       (10- 6, 73.9)     6- 8   
 405 A Hanover                Midwest       ( 9- 7, 74.2)     8- 9  o
 409 A Carthage               Midwest       (15- 6, 82.1)     6-16   
 412 H Mount St. Joseph       Midwest       ( 4-13, 68.8)    15- 5   
 416 A Concordia-Wisconsin    Midwest       (14- 4, 79.8)     2- 9   
 419 A Defiance               Midwest       ( 0-15, 53.0)    16- 0   
 421 H Illinois Wesleyan      Independent   ( 8- 6, 73.0)     7- 6 2o
 423 H Augustana              Midwest       ( 9- 7, 78.2)    14-13  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Beloit                  7- 8      -1    -2           1.03
   301 A DePauw                  6-14      -8     0    ---   -7.46
   308 H Calvin                  9- 0       9     9          -0.07
   315 H Adrian                  4-14     -10    -8          -1.13
   319 H Aurora                  4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   322 H MSoE                   12- 6       6     9    -     -3.93
   325 A Hendrix                 7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.37
   329 A Fontbonne              11- 8       3     8    --    -5.84
   402 H Benedictine             6- 8      -2     0          -1.29
   405 A Hanover                 8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.23
   409 A Carthage                6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   412 H Mount St. Joseph       15- 5      10     4    ++     5.64
   416 A Concordia-Wisconsin     2- 9      -7    -8           1.87
   419 A Defiance               16- 0      16    17           0.00
   421 H Illinois Wesleyan       7- 6 2o    1     0           0.83
   423 H Augustana              14-13  o    1    -4    ++     5.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A DePauw                  6-14      -8     0    ---   -7.46
   329 A Fontbonne              11- 8       3     8    --    -5.84
   322 H MSoE                   12- 6       6     9    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Mount St. Joseph       15- 5      10     4    ++     5.64
   423 H Augustana              14-13  o    1    -4    ++     5.99
   325 A Hendrix                 7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.37
   405 A Hanover                 8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.07 Local Power Rank...........   151
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.58 Local SOS Rank.............   162
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   124
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    67
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   121
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/