Conf = Colonial                   Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Dragons                Coach  = Brian Voelker           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3935699    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Virginia               ACC           (10- 6, 96.2)    10-11   
 222 A Albany                 America East  (12- 6, 97.8)    14-13   
 225 A Villanova              Big East      ( 6-10, 93.5)    10-11  o
 301 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 5- 9, 88.6)    18-12   
 304 H St. John's             Big East      ( 7- 7, 92.6)    16-11   
 308 A Bryant                 Northeast     (16- 5, 93.2)     6-12   
 315 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 1-15, 85.3)     9- 6   
 322 H Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 5, 93.7)     9-11   
 325 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (11- 4, 91.9)    14-10   
 329 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 7- 9, 91.6)     9- 7   
 405 H Penn State             Colonial      ( 7- 6, 95.2)    13-12 3o
 412 H Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 7- 6, 92.8)    13- 9   
 419 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 8- 7, 91.4)    13- 7   
 425 A High Point             Atlantic Sun  ( 9- 7, 89.8)    11- 8   
 501 H Towson                 Colonial      ( 8- 7, 91.4)    11-10  o
 503 A Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 5, 93.7)    11-10 3o
 511 A Penn                   Ivy           (11- 4, 95.8)    16-11   
 518 N Denver                 Big East      (16- 3, 98.8)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Virginia               10-11      -1     0          -0.13
   222 A Albany                 14-13       1    -4    ++     5.41
   225 A Villanova              10-11  o   -1     0          -0.93
   301 H Robert Morris          18-12       6     6          -0.75
   304 H St. John's             16-11       5     2    +      2.23
   308 A Bryant                  6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   315 A Mount St. Mary's        9- 6       3     8    --    -5.13
   322 H Hofstra                 9-11      -2     1    -     -3.66
   325 A Saint Joseph's         14-10       4     1    +      2.49
   329 A Delaware                9- 7       2     1           0.15
   405 H Penn State             13-12 3o    1     0           0.82
   412 H Massachusetts          13- 9       4     2           1.45
   419 A Towson                 13- 7       6     2    +      3.92
   425 A High Point             11- 8       3     3          -0.59
   501 H Towson                 11-10  o    1     3    -     -3.00
   503 A Hofstra                11-10 3o    1     0           1.25
   511 A Penn                   16-11       5    -2    +++    7.32
   518 N Denver                  6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Bryant                  6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   315 A Mount St. Mary's        9- 6       3     8    --    -5.13
   518 N Denver                  6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.64
   322 H Hofstra                 9-11      -2     1    -     -3.66
   501 H Towson                 11-10  o    1     3    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Penn                   16-11       5    -2    +++    7.32
   222 A Albany                 14-13       1    -4    ++     5.41
   304 H St. John's             16-11       5     2    +      2.23
   325 A Saint Joseph's         14-10       4     1    +      2.49
   419 A Towson                 13- 7       6     2    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.39 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.49 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/