Conf = North Coast                Region = South        State = OH
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Mike Caravana           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.0261078    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Mount St. Joseph       Midwest       ( 4-13, 68.8)    29- 1   
 222 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (11- 6, 89.5)    11- 9   
 226 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (12- 5, 87.0)    12- 4   
 307 H Hope                   MIAA          ( 6- 7, 74.3)    24- 2   
 315 N Stevens                Empire 8      ( 8- 8, 87.6)    19-17   
 319 N St. Mary's             Capital       ( 7-10, 84.7)    18- 9   
 322 N Dickinson              Centennial    ( 9- 7, 87.2)     9- 6   
 326 A Wooster                North Coast   (10- 5, 82.2)     9- 3   
 329 A DePauw                 North Coast   ( 3-12, 71.5)    21- 0   
 401 H Oberlin                North Coast   ( 8- 6, 81.6)    12- 4   
 405 H Adrian                 MIAA          (13- 4, 82.1)    15- 5   
 409 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 9- 7, 80.3)    23- 2   
 412 A Wittenberg             North Coast   (10- 5, 82.9)    14- 8   
 416 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (12- 4, 87.4)    10- 9   
 419 A Hiram                  North Coast   ( 2-11, 62.5)    27- 2   
 423 H Wittenberg             North Coast   (10- 5, 82.9)    18- 3   
 426 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (12- 4, 87.4)    14- 5   
 507 H Centre                 Southern      (13- 4, 81.5)    19- 4   
 510 H Aurora                 Midwest       (16- 4, 85.7)    11- 8   
 514 A Salisbury              Capital       (21- 2, 92.7)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Mount St. Joseph       29- 1      28    24           0.00
   222 A Washington & Lee       11- 9       2     1           0.65
   226 A Roanoke                12- 4       8     3    ++     4.10
   307 H Hope                   24- 2      22    18           0.00
   315 N Stevens                19-17       2     4    -     -2.41
   319 N St. Mary's             18- 9       9     7           1.72
   322 N Dickinson               9- 6       3     4          -1.82
   326 A Wooster                 9- 3       6     8    -     -2.69
   329 A DePauw                 21- 0      21    19           0.00
   401 H Oberlin                12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   405 H Adrian                 15- 5      10    11           0.00
   409 H Kenyon                 23- 2      21    12           0.00
   412 A Wittenberg             14- 8       6     7          -1.97
   416 H Ohio Wesleyan          10- 9       1     5    --    -4.81
   419 A Hiram                  27- 2      25    28           0.00
   423 H Wittenberg             18- 3      15    10           0.00
   426 H Ohio Wesleyan          14- 5       9     5    +      3.19
   507 H Centre                 19- 4      15    11           0.00
   510 H Aurora                 11- 8       3     7    --    -4.44
   514 A Salisbury               5-15     -10    -1    ---   -8.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Salisbury               5-15     -10    -1    ---   -8.15
   416 H Ohio Wesleyan          10- 9       1     5    --    -4.81
   510 H Aurora                 11- 8       3     7    --    -4.44
   315 N Stevens                19-17       2     4    -     -2.41
   326 A Wooster                 9- 3       6     8    -     -2.69
   401 H Oberlin                12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Roanoke                12- 4       8     3    ++     4.10
   426 H Ohio Wesleyan          14- 5       9     5    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.03 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.77 Local SOS Rank.............    49
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/