Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Steve Beville           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2935333    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Albright               MAC Commonwlt (13- 6, 84.9)    12- 4   
 301 H Union                  Liberty       (15- 4, 89.7)     7- 6   
 305 H Clarkson               Liberty       ( 7- 7, 82.8)    12- 3   
 308 N Stevens                Empire 8      ( 8- 8, 87.6)    10- 5   
 313 N RIT                    Liberty       (20- 1, 93.6)    11-18   
 315 H Eastern Connecticut    Little East   (11- 6, 81.6)    12- 4   
 321 N Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (17- 5, 90.3)     9-10  o
 322 A Stevenson              MAC Commonwlt (19- 3, 91.5)     8- 9   
 329 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        (10- 6, 81.8)    15- 3   
 402 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (15- 5, 88.2)     8- 7  o
 405 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (13- 6, 86.1)    11-10   
 410 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 6- 9, 80.7)    10- 4   
 412 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 5-11, 79.4)    21- 7   
 416 A Nazareth               Empire 8      ( 8-10, 86.4)    12- 9   
 419 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 4- 9, 80.8)    21- 8   
 423 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 5- 8, 81.7)    14- 3   
 430 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 5-11, 79.4)    15- 3   
 503 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (13- 6, 86.1)    11-10   
 507 H Keuka                  NEAC          (14- 1, 81.9)    20- 6   
 510 H Springfield            NEWMAC        (15- 4, 87.2)    14-10   
 514 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (21- 2, 94.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Albright               12- 4       8     4    +      3.75
   301 H Union                   7- 6       1     1          -0.74
   305 H Clarkson               12- 3       9     8           0.40
   308 N Stevens                10- 5       5     2    +      2.32
   313 N RIT                    11-18      -7    -3    -     -3.66
   315 H Eastern Connecticut    12- 4       8     9          -1.82
   321 N Lynchburg               9-10  o   -1     0          -0.99
   322 A Stevenson               8- 9      -1    -2           1.33
   329 A Potsdam                15- 3      12     7    +      2.64
   402 A Ithaca                  8- 7  o    1     0           0.04
   405 H Plattsburgh            11-10       1     5    --    -4.30
   410 H Oswego                 10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   412 H Oneonta                21- 7      14    11           0.00
   416 A Nazareth               12- 9       3     2           0.20
   419 A Brockport              21- 8      13     8           1.65
   423 H Geneseo                14- 3      11     9           0.26
   430 H Oneonta                15- 3      12    11           0.00
   503 H Plattsburgh            11-10       1     5    --    -4.30
   507 H Keuka                  20- 6      14     9           0.43
   510 H Springfield            14-10       4     4          -0.20
   514 A Tufts                   5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Plattsburgh            11-10       1     5    --    -4.30
   410 H Oswego                 10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   503 H Plattsburgh            11-10       1     5    --    -4.30
   514 A Tufts                   5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.25
   313 N RIT                    11-18      -7    -3    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Albright               12- 4       8     4    +      3.75
   308 N Stevens                10- 5       5     2    +      2.32
   329 A Potsdam                15- 3      12     7    +      2.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.29 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.07 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/