Conf = ECAC                       Region = West         State = CO
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Eric Seremet            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4306183    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Denver                 Big East      (16- 3, 98.8)     8-14   
 215 H Furman                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-12, 84.9)    15- 6   
 222 N Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 90.1)     6- 7   
 223 N Marist                 Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 90.1)    17- 9   
 302 A VMI                    Atlantic Sun  ( 2-12, 83.4)     4- 6   
 308 H Bellarmine             ECAC          ( 7- 5, 91.4)    13- 9   
 315 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  ( 4- 9, 88.5)    15-12   
 323 A Binghamton             America East  ( 7- 8, 90.8)    10- 8   
 329 H Michigan               ECAC          ( 5-11, 89.8)    15-12   
 405 H Mercer                 Atlantic Sun  ( 7- 7, 86.8)    19- 6   
 412 H Fairfield              ECAC          (12- 4, 94.3)    16- 8   
 419 A Ohio State             ECAC          ( 6- 8, 93.9)     6- 8   
 426 A Quinnipiac             Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 90.4)    10-15   
 501 A Ohio State             ECAC          ( 6- 8, 93.9)    14- 7   
 503 N Fairfield              ECAC          (12- 4, 94.3)     9- 8   
 507 H Richmond               Atlantic Sun  ( 6-11, 88.0)    13- 5   
 511 A Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 99.9)     9-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Denver                  8-14      -6    -4          -1.63
   215 H Furman                 15- 6       9     9          -0.54
   222 N Canisius                6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.31
   223 N Marist                 17- 9       8     3    ++     4.69
   302 A VMI                     4- 6      -2     9    ---  -11.06
   308 H Bellarmine             13- 9       4     3           1.00
   315 A Jacksonville           15-12       3     3          -0.98
   323 A Binghamton             10- 8       2     1           0.32
   329 H Michigan               15-12       3     4          -1.61
   405 H Mercer                 19- 6      13     7    +      2.45
   412 H Fairfield              16- 8       8     0    +++    7.92
   419 A Ohio State              6- 8      -2    -1          -0.54
   426 A Quinnipiac             10-15      -5     2    ---   -7.04
   501 A Ohio State             14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.46
   503 N Fairfield               9- 8       1     0           1.88
   507 H Richmond               13- 5       8     6           1.56
   511 A Duke                    9-20     -11    -7    -     -2.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A VMI                     4- 6      -2     9    ---  -11.06
   426 A Quinnipiac             10-15      -5     2    ---   -7.04
   222 N Canisius                6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.31
   511 A Duke                    9-20     -11    -7    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Fairfield              16- 8       8     0    +++    7.92
   501 A Ohio State             14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.46
   223 N Marist                 17- 9       8     3    ++     4.69
   405 H Mercer                 19- 6      13     7    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.43 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.62 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/