Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0995178    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Air Force              ECAC          ( 7- 7, 93.3)    16- 8   
 216 N Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 7- 8, 94.3)    11-12   
 223 H Fairfield              ECAC          ( 8- 7, 93.0)    10- 9   
 302 A Notre Dame             Big East      (11- 5, 96.0)     9-10 3o
 309 H Princeton              Ivy           ( 9- 6, 97.2)    16-15   
 313 H Duke                   ACC           (16- 5, 98.0)     8-11   
 318 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 3-11, 91.0)    13- 5   
 323 A Maryland               ACC           (10- 4, 98.2)    10- 8   
 327 H Brown                  Ivy           ( 8- 6, 93.9)    18-12   
 330 H Johns Hopkins          Independent   ( 9- 5, 97.6)    11-10  o
 406 A Virginia               ACC           ( 7- 8, 95.7)    10- 7   
 413 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 7- 7, 94.3)    14- 5   
 420 H High Point             Independent   ( 3-12, 86.8)    20- 8   
 426 H Duke                   ACC           (16- 5, 98.0)    18-17   
 428 H Virginia               ACC           ( 7- 8, 95.7)    16-13   
 511 H Lehigh                 Patriot       (12- 5, 95.5)    16- 7   
 519 N Denver                 ECAC          (14- 5, 96.9)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Air Force              16- 8       8     5    +      2.40
   216 N Massachusetts          11-12      -1     3    --    -4.75
   223 H Fairfield              10- 9       1     5    --    -4.94
   302 A Notre Dame              9-10 3o   -1     1    -     -2.28
   309 H Princeton              16-15       1     1          -0.72
   313 H Duke                    8-11      -3     0    -     -3.96
   318 H Dartmouth              13- 5       8     7           0.08
   323 A Maryland               10- 8       2     0    +      2.90
   327 H Brown                  18-12       6     5           0.98
   330 H Johns Hopkins          11-10  o    1     1          -0.31
   406 A Virginia               10- 7       3     1           1.47
   413 A Hofstra                14- 5       9     3    ++     5.97
   420 H High Point             20- 8      12    12           0.00
   426 H Duke                   18-17       1     0           0.04
   428 H Virginia               16-13       3     3          -0.17
   511 H Lehigh                 16- 7       9     3    ++     5.61
   519 N Denver                 11-12      -1     1    -     -2.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 N Massachusetts          11-12      -1     3    --    -4.75
   223 H Fairfield              10- 9       1     5    --    -4.94
   302 A Notre Dame              9-10 3o   -1     1    -     -2.28
   313 H Duke                    8-11      -3     0    -     -3.96
   519 N Denver                 11-12      -1     1    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Hofstra                14- 5       9     3    ++     5.97
   511 H Lehigh                 16- 7       9     3    ++     5.61
   208 H Air Force              16- 8       8     5    +      2.40
   323 A Maryland               10- 8       2     0    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.10 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 88.17 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/