Conf = Deep South                 Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = R.J. Rossi              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7954559    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Mercer                 Independent   ( 4- 8, 87.0)     3-13   
 216 A Florida Tech           Deep South    ( 6- 8, 77.8)     5- 9   
 224 H Lindenwood             ECAC-II       ( 8- 5, 84.4)    15-16 2o
 228 H Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 82.7)     9-14   
 303 H Wingate                Deep South    ( 2-14, 75.6)    10- 4   
 306 H Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       (11- 6, 85.1)     9-17   
 309 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 6, 82.6)     7-10   
 314 H Molloy                 East Coast    (10- 4, 86.1)     5-18   
 316 H Adams State            WILA          ( 3- 9, 77.0)    15- 9   
 320 H Florida Southern       Deep South    ( 7- 8, 81.8)    10- 7   
 328 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Deep South    ( 8- 8, 79.3)     4-10   
 330 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 80.5)    11-12   
 405 A Tampa                  Deep South    (11- 6, 83.8)     6-10   
 419 A Seton Hill             ECAC-II       (12- 4, 89.5)     8-18   
 421 A Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (12- 5, 87.9)     8-18   
 426 A Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (13- 4, 86.0)     4-10   
 428 N Mars Hill              Independent   (11- 3, 82.2)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Mercer                  3-13     -10    -8          n/a  
   216 A Florida Tech            5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.38
   224 H Lindenwood             15-16 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.03
   228 H Saint Leo               9-14      -5    -3          -1.73
   303 H Wingate                10- 4       6     3    +      2.19
   306 H Wheeling Jesuit         9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.29
   309 H Belmont Abbey           7-10      -3    -3           0.15
   314 H Molloy                  5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.28
   316 H Adams State            15- 9       6     2    +      3.60
   320 H Florida Southern       10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.42
   328 A Lenoir-Rhyne            4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.88
   330 A Catawba                11-12      -1    -2           1.32
   405 A Tampa                   6-10      -4    -5           1.62
   419 A Seton Hill              8-18     -10   -11           0.00
   421 A Lake Erie               8-18     -10    -9          -0.29
   426 A Pfeiffer                4-10      -6    -7           1.83
   428 N Mars Hill               5-10      -5    -3          -1.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Mercer                  3-13   
   209 A Mercer                  3-13   
   216 A Florida Tech            5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.38
   328 A Lenoir-Rhyne            4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.88
   209 A Mercer                  3-13   
   306 H Wheeling Jesuit         9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.29
   314 H Molloy                  5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Mercer                  3-13   
   209 A Mercer                  3-13   
   224 H Lindenwood             15-16 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.03
   320 H Florida Southern       10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.42
   209 A Mercer                  3-13   
   303 H Wingate                10- 4       6     3    +      2.19
   316 H Adams State            15- 9       6     2    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.80 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.83 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/