Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Trojans                Coach  = Mike Murphy             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3527222    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Young Harris           Independent   ( 5- 8, 69.3)    24- 5   
 220 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 80.5)    10-14   
 224 H Wingate                Deep South    ( 2-14, 75.6)    13- 9   
 302 H Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (12- 5, 87.9)     8-16   
 308 A Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 82.7)     6-11   
 309 A Florida Tech           Deep South    ( 6- 8, 77.8)    19-11   
 317 A Alderson-Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 0-13, 67.4)    18- 3   
 320 H Coker                  Carolinas     ( 5-10, 77.7)    15- 5   
 323 A Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 0-15, 66.2)    16- 1   
 327 H Limestone              Carolinas     (16- 2, 89.0)     9-14   
 330 A Ohio Valley            ECAC-II       ( 6-11, 70.4)    21- 4   
 402 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (13- 4, 86.0)    10-15   
 406 A Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 7- 7, 83.8)    10-15   
 413 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 6, 82.6)    10-11  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Young Harris           24- 5      19    13           0.00
   220 A Catawba                10-14      -4     1    --    -5.24
   224 H Wingate                13- 9       4     7    -     -3.36
   302 H Lake Erie               8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.07
   308 A Saint Leo               6-11      -5     0    --    -4.06
   309 A Florida Tech           19-11       8     3    ++     4.06
   317 A Alderson-Broaddus      18- 3      15    14           0.00
   320 H Coker                  15- 5      10     5    ++     4.69
   323 A Lees-McRae             16- 1      15    15           0.00
   327 H Limestone               9-14      -5    -5           0.99
   330 A Ohio Valley            21- 4      17    11           0.00
   402 H Pfeiffer               10-15      -5    -3          -1.94
   406 A Queens U. of Charlotte 10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.97
   413 A Belmont Abbey          10-11  o   -1     0          -0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Catawba                10-14      -4     1    --    -5.24
   308 A Saint Leo               6-11      -5     0    --    -4.06
   224 H Wingate                13- 9       4     7    -     -3.36
   302 H Lake Erie               8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.07
   406 A Queens U. of Charlotte 10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Florida Tech           19-11       8     3    ++     4.06
   320 H Coker                  15- 5      10     5    ++     4.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.35 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.20 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/