Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Mountain Hawks         Coach  = Kevin Cassese           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5296783    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 H Saint Joseph's         Colonial      ( 5-11, 87.5)    14- 1   
 216 A Villanova              Big East      ( 7- 8, 94.3)    11- 9   
 223 A Denver                 ECAC          (14- 5, 96.9)    10-18   
 224 A Air Force              ECAC          ( 7- 7, 93.3)    10-15   
 302 H VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 1-12, 82.2)    18- 2   
 305 H Penn                   Ivy           ( 8- 5, 96.6)     4- 6   
 309 N Penn State             Colonial      (12- 5, 96.4)    12-10   
 316 A Army                   Patriot       ( 8- 6, 93.9)    10- 6   
 320 H Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 7- 8, 94.3)     4- 6   
 323 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 7- 8, 90.0)     8- 5   
 330 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 3-10, 90.0)    12- 7   
 406 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 8- 7, 91.9)    13-10   
 412 A Bucknell               Patriot       (12- 4, 95.6)    11- 7   
 420 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-10, 88.0)    14- 5   
 426 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 8- 7, 91.9)    15- 7   
 428 H Bucknell               Patriot       (12- 4, 95.6)    11- 5   
 511 A North Carolina         ACC           (13- 4, 98.1)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 H Saint Joseph's         14- 1      13     8           1.14
   216 A Villanova              11- 9       2     0           1.61
   223 A Denver                 10-18      -8    -2    --    -5.82
   224 A Air Force              10-15      -5     1    ---   -6.39
   302 H VMI                    18- 2      16    14           0.00
   305 H Penn                    4- 6      -2     0          -1.70
   309 N Penn State             12-10       2     0    +      2.87
   316 A Army                   10- 6       4     0    +      3.16
   320 H Massachusetts           4- 6      -2     1    -     -4.00
   323 A Holy Cross              8- 5       3     4          -1.70
   330 H Navy                   12- 7       5     6          -1.38
   406 H Colgate                13-10       3     4          -1.41
   412 A Bucknell               11- 7       4     0    ++     4.86
   420 H Lafayette              14- 5       9     8           0.68
   426 H Colgate                15- 7       8     4    +      3.59
   428 H Bucknell               11- 5       6     0    ++     5.22
   511 A North Carolina          7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Air Force              10-15      -5     1    ---   -6.39
   223 A Denver                 10-18      -8    -2    --    -5.82
   511 A North Carolina          7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.61
   320 H Massachusetts           4- 6      -2     1    -     -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Bucknell               11- 7       4     0    ++     4.86
   428 H Bucknell               11- 5       6     0    ++     5.22
   309 N Penn State             12-10       2     0    +      2.87
   316 A Army                   10- 6       4     0    +      3.16
   426 H Colgate                15- 7       8     4    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.53 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.12 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/