Conf = Big East                   Region = Southeast    State = DC
   Nickname = Hoyas                  Coach  = Kevin Warne             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0432281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-10, 88.0)    10-11  o
 224 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 3-10, 90.0)     9- 8  o
 302 N Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 3-11, 91.0)    10- 9   
 309 A Harvard                Ivy           ( 6- 8, 93.7)     6- 8   
 312 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6- 9, 89.9)     6-14   
 316 H Providence             Big East      ( 8- 8, 90.5)    16- 8   
 320 H Loyola                 ECAC          (11- 5, 97.4)     8-13   
 323 A Duke                   ACC           (16- 5, 98.0)     7-19   
 329 H Marquette              Independent   ( 5- 8, 88.9)    17-12   
 403 H Villanova              Big East      ( 7- 8, 94.3)     6- 8   
 406 N St. John's             Big East      ( 9- 4, 94.1)    14-13  o
 414 A Notre Dame             Big East      (11- 5, 96.0)     8-10   
 420 H Syracuse               Big East      (16- 4, 97.0)     8- 9   
 427 A Rutgers                Big East      ( 2-13, 90.4)    15- 7   
 502 A Villanova              Big East      ( 7- 8, 94.3)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Lafayette              10-11  o   -1     4    --    -5.83
   224 H Navy                    9- 8  o    1     2          -1.89
   302 N Dartmouth              10- 9       1     1          -0.05
   309 A Harvard                 6- 8      -2    -2           0.47
   312 A Mount St. Mary's        6-14      -8     1    ---   -9.34
   316 H Providence             16- 8       8     2    ++     5.66
   320 H Loyola                  8-13      -5    -4          -0.43
   323 A Duke                    7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.27
   329 H Marquette              17-12       5     3           1.01
   403 H Villanova               6- 8      -2    -1          -0.54
   406 N St. John's             14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.01
   414 A Notre Dame              8-10      -2    -4    +      2.77
   420 H Syracuse                8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.12
   427 A Rutgers                15- 7       8     0    +++    7.22
   502 A Villanova              12-15      -3    -3           0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Mount St. Mary's        6-14      -8     1    ---   -9.34
   216 H Lafayette              10-11  o   -1     4    --    -5.83
   323 A Duke                    7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Rutgers                15- 7       8     0    +++    7.22
   316 H Providence             16- 8       8     2    ++     5.66
   406 N St. John's             14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.01
   414 A Notre Dame              8-10      -2    -4    +      2.77
   420 H Syracuse                8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.04 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.36 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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