Conf = Deep South                 Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Moccasins              Coach  = Marty Ward              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8282776    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Tampa                  Deep South    (11- 6, 83.8)     7-12   
 222 H Lindenwood             ECAC-II       ( 8- 5, 84.4)    14-12   
 228 A Wingate                Deep South    ( 2-14, 75.6)    11- 7   
 302 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 6, 82.6)     6- 7   
 307 H Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       (11- 6, 85.1)     7-14   
 313 H Adams State            WILA          ( 3- 9, 77.0)    16- 8   
 316 N Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (13- 4, 86.0)     7- 8   
 320 A Rollins                Deep South    ( 3-14, 78.8)     7-10   
 324 H Lenoir-Rhyne           Deep South    ( 8- 8, 79.3)    11-12  o
 328 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 80.5)     9-10   
 330 A Coker                  Carolinas     ( 5-10, 77.7)    12- 7   
 403 A Florida Tech           Deep South    ( 6- 8, 77.8)    15-10   
 406 A Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 82.7)    13- 5   
 409 A Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 82.7)     6-10   
 419 H Young Harris           Independent   ( 5- 8, 69.3)    21- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Tampa                   7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.63
   222 H Lindenwood             14-12       2    -1    +      4.00
   228 A Wingate                11- 7       4     5          -1.62
   302 A Belmont Abbey           6- 7      -1    -1           0.33
   307 H Wheeling Jesuit         7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.32
   313 H Adams State            16- 8       8     5    +      2.57
   316 N Pfeiffer                7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.19
   320 A Rollins                 7-10      -3     2    --    -5.42
   324 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11-12  o   -1     3    --    -4.14
   328 A Catawba                 9-10      -1     0          -1.71
   330 A Coker                  12- 7       5     3           1.44
   403 A Florida Tech           15-10       5     3           1.59
   406 A Saint Leo              13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.46
   409 A Saint Leo               6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.54
   419 H Young Harris           21- 7      14    13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Wheeling Jesuit         7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.32
   320 A Rollins                 7-10      -3     2    --    -5.42
   324 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11-12  o   -1     3    --    -4.14
   208 H Tampa                   7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.63
   409 A Saint Leo               6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Saint Leo              13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.46
   222 H Lindenwood             14-12       2    -1    +      4.00
   313 H Adams State            16- 8       8     5    +      2.57
   316 N Pfeiffer                7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.83 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.93 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
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