Conf = Colonial                   Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Dragons                Coach  = Brian Voelker           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8794861    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Virginia               ACC           ( 7- 8, 95.7)    12-13  o
 223 H Albany                 America East  (13- 5, 96.6)    20-19   
 226 H Villanova              Big East      ( 7- 8, 94.3)    12-10   
 302 A Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 8- 7, 91.4)    13-12   
 309 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8-11, 92.4)    11- 5   
 312 A Bucknell               Patriot       (12- 4, 95.6)     8-17   
 316 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6- 9, 89.9)    14-11   
 323 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 7- 7, 94.3)     8- 7 3o
 327 H Saint Joseph's         Colonial      ( 5-11, 87.5)    16- 3   
 330 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-10, 91.2)    11-10   
 406 A Penn State             Colonial      (12- 5, 96.4)     6-13   
 413 A Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 7- 8, 94.3)    15-14   
 420 H Towson                 Colonial      (10- 8, 92.8)    14-11   
 427 H High Point             Independent   ( 3-12, 86.8)    14- 8   
 501 N Towson                 Colonial      (10- 8, 92.8)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Virginia               12-13  o   -1    -2           1.69
   223 H Albany                 20-19       1    -1    +      2.88
   226 H Villanova              12-10       2     0           1.62
   302 A Robert Morris          13-12       1     1          -0.69
   309 H Bryant                 11- 5       6     2    +      3.69
   312 A Bucknell                8-17      -9    -2    ---   -6.49
   316 H Mount St. Mary's       14-11       3     4          -1.81
   323 A Hofstra                 8- 7 3o    1    -1    +      2.19
   327 H Saint Joseph's         16- 3      13     7    +      2.79
   330 H Delaware               11-10       1     3    -     -2.54
   406 A Penn State              6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.66
   413 A Massachusetts          15-14       1    -1    +      2.29
   420 H Towson                 14-11       3     1           1.07
   427 H High Point             14- 8       6     7          -1.90
   501 N Towson                  8-11      -3     1    --    -4.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Bucknell                8-17      -9    -2    ---   -6.49
   501 N Towson                  8-11      -3     1    --    -4.11
   330 H Delaware               11-10       1     3    -     -2.54
   406 A Penn State              6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Albany                 20-19       1    -1    +      2.88
   309 H Bryant                 11- 5       6     2    +      3.69
   323 A Hofstra                 8- 7 3o    1    -1    +      2.19
   327 H Saint Joseph's         16- 3      13     7    +      2.79
   413 A Massachusetts          15-14       1    -1    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.88 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.09 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/