Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Bearcats               Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7047653    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 A Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 91.1)     8- 9   
 226 A Cornell                Ivy           (14- 4, 99.9)     6-11   
 302 H Hobart                 ECAC          ( 6- 8, 91.2)     6- 2   
 309 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-10, 91.2)     9- 8   
 312 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 8- 7, 91.9)     5-12   
 316 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 85.9)    13- 6   
 319 H Penn State             Colonial      (12- 5, 96.4)     7-11   
 323 H Quinnipiac             Northeast     ( 6- 8, 89.5)    11- 9   
 330 H Albany                 America East  (13- 5, 96.6)     8-21   
 406 A Stony Brook            America East  ( 7- 9, 92.1)    14-13  o
 413 H Hartford               America East  ( 7- 7, 90.4)     3-11   
 415 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 87.6)    11-12   
 420 H Vermont                America East  ( 4-10, 87.0)     7- 8   
 427 A UMBC                   America East  ( 7- 8, 91.1)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Siena                   8- 9      -1    -2           1.26
   226 A Cornell                 6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   302 H Hobart                  6- 2       4     0    ++     4.72
   309 A Delaware                9- 8       1    -2    +      3.27
   312 A Colgate                 5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.95
   316 H Manhattan              13- 6       7     4    +      2.37
   319 H Penn State              7-11      -4    -5           1.88
   323 H Quinnipiac             11- 9       2     1           0.96
   330 H Albany                  8-21     -13    -6    -     -3.94
   406 A Stony Brook            14-13  o    1    -3    ++     4.17
   413 H Hartford                3-11      -8     0    ---   -8.13
   415 A Canisius               11-12      -1     1    -     -2.30
   420 H Vermont                 7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.50
   427 A UMBC                    9-10      -1    -2           1.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Hartford                3-11      -8     0    ---   -8.13
   420 H Vermont                 7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.50
   312 A Colgate                 5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.95
   330 H Albany                  8-21     -13    -6    -     -3.94
   415 A Canisius               11-12      -1     1    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Cornell                 6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   302 H Hobart                  6- 2       4     0    ++     4.72
   406 A Stony Brook            14-13  o    1    -3    ++     4.17
   309 A Delaware                9- 8       1    -2    +      3.27
   316 H Manhattan              13- 6       7     4    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.70 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.47 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    48
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/