Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.2160034    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 N Penn State             Colonial      ( 9- 6, 95.7)    14-10   
 212 N Mercer                 Independent   ( 1-13, 82.6)    20- 7   
 218 H Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 89.9)    18- 8   
 225 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 6- 6, 94.3)     9- 8   
 303 H Lehigh                 Patriot       (14- 3, 97.8)     8- 9   
 306 A Penn                   Ivy           ( 3-10, 94.3)     6-10   
 310 N Princeton              Ivy           (11- 5, 98.9)     9- 8   
 316 A Duke                   ACC           (15- 5, 97.9)    11-13   
 321 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 5- 9, 92.9)    13-10   
 324 H Maryland               ACC           (12- 6, 98.5)    11-10   
 401 N Johns Hopkins          Independent   (12- 4, 97.8)    13- 9   
 407 H Virginia               ACC           (12- 4, 98.3)    10-15   
 414 N Hofstra                Colonial      ( 6- 8, 95.2)    12- 9   
 420 A Virginia               ACC           (12- 4, 98.3)    11- 9   
 422 N Duke                   ACC           (15- 5, 97.9)     9-12   
 505 H Michigan               ECAC          ( 1-13, 88.4)    19- 5   
 512 H Denver                 ECAC          ( 9- 7, 98.6)    14-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 N Penn State             14-10       4     1    +      2.48
   212 N Mercer                 20- 7      13    14           0.00
   218 H Detroit                18- 8      10     8           1.46
   225 A Navy                    9- 8       1     1          -0.68
   303 H Lehigh                  8- 9      -1     0          -1.57
   306 A Penn                    6-10      -4     1    --    -5.69
   310 N Princeton               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.66
   316 A Duke                   11-13      -2    -1          -0.07
   321 H Dartmouth              13-10       3     5    -     -2.56
   324 H Maryland               11-10       1     0           1.13
   401 N Johns Hopkins          13- 9       4     0    ++     4.57
   407 H Virginia               10-15      -5     0    --    -5.16
   414 N Hofstra                12- 9       3     2           0.99
   420 A Virginia               11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.24
   422 N Duke                    9-12      -3     0    -     -2.27
   505 H Michigan               19- 5      14    10           0.00
   512 H Denver                 14-16      -2     0          -1.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Penn                    6-10      -4     1    --    -5.69
   407 H Virginia               10-15      -5     0    --    -5.16
   321 H Dartmouth              13-10       3     5    -     -2.56
   422 N Duke                    9-12      -3     0    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Johns Hopkins          13- 9       4     0    ++     4.57
   420 A Virginia               11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.24
   211 N Penn State             14-10       4     1    +      2.48
   310 N Princeton               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.22 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 88.62 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    56
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/