Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Peter Milliman          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5656052    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 A Coker                  Carolinas     ( 2-14, 74.6)     9- 1   
 225 H Lake Erie              East Coast    ( 7- 7, 83.2)     8-11   
 229 H Catawba                Deep South    (14- 3, 85.0)     8- 9   
 303 H Florida Southern       Deep South    (10- 6, 84.9)     7- 6  o
 305 H Ohio Valley            Independent   ( 3- 8, 64.2)    26- 2   
 307 H Lenoir-Rhyne           Deep South    ( 5-10, 80.4)    18- 9   
 310 A Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 7- 7, 83.0)     7- 8   
 312 A Rollins                Deep South    ( 3-12, 79.3)    15- 4   
 313 A Florida Tech           Deep South    ( 2-12, 73.2)    23- 4   
 321 H Wingate                Deep South    ( 4-10, 80.4)    14- 3   
 324 H Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 8- 6, 84.4)    13-10   
 328 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 5-11, 81.0)    10- 4   
 331 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 1-10, 70.9)    19- 1   
 407 N Mercyhurst             East Coast    (13- 1, 90.1)     6- 8   
 414 A Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 2, 91.9)     7- 8  o
 420 A Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 8- 6, 84.4)     8- 7  o
 422 N Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 2, 91.9)     5- 9   
 429 H Lindenwood             WILA          ( 8- 7, 79.5)     7- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Coker                   9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00
   225 H Lake Erie               8-11      -3     4    ---   -7.36
   229 H Catawba                 8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.65
   303 H Florida Southern        7- 6  o    1     2          -1.66
   305 H Ohio Valley            26- 2      24    23           0.00
   307 H Lenoir-Rhyne           18- 9       9     7           1.84
   310 A Saint Leo               7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.54
   312 A Rollins                15- 4      11     6    +      3.76
   313 A Florida Tech           23- 4      19    12           0.00
   321 H Wingate                14- 3      11     7    +      2.82
   324 H Queens U. of Charlotte 13-10       3     3          -0.23
   328 H Belmont Abbey          10- 4       6     6          -0.59
   331 H Lees-McRae             19- 1      18    16           0.00
   407 N Mercyhurst              6- 8      -2    -3           1.53
   414 A Limestone               7- 8  o   -1    -6    ++     5.37
   420 A Queens U. of Charlotte  8- 7  o    1     1          -0.16
   422 N Limestone               5- 9      -4    -5           1.33
   429 H Lindenwood              7- 6       1     8    ---   -7.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Lake Erie               8-11      -3     4    ---   -7.36
   429 H Lindenwood              7- 6       1     8    ---   -7.08
   217 A Coker                   9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00
   229 H Catawba                 8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.65
   310 A Saint Leo               7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Limestone               7- 8  o   -1    -6    ++     5.37
   312 A Rollins                15- 4      11     6    +      3.76
   321 H Wingate                14- 3      11     7    +      2.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.57 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.30 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/