Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Todd Hodgson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.3379517    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Dickinson              Centennial    (15- 4, 87.8)     7-17   
 225 H Susquehanna            Landmark      ( 9- 7, 78.7)     9- 7   
 229 N Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 6- 8, 83.4)    10- 9   
 307 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (12- 6, 83.1)     8-13   
 310 H King's                 MAC Freedom   ( 7- 8, 74.6)     6- 7  o
 317 N Scranton               Landmark      ( 9- 7, 79.5)     9-11   
 321 A St. John Fisher        Empire 8      (11- 5, 83.0)     9-14   
 331 H Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 3-10, 73.1)    15- 9   
 405 H Elizabethtown          MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 75.7)     8- 7  o
 410 A Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 6, 74.8)     4- 7   
 414 A Widener                MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 81.4)     8-14   
 421 H Albright               MAC Commonwlt (16- 3, 77.5)    11- 7   
 425 H Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 77.7)    13-12  o
 428 A Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 5-11, 65.6)    11- 2   
 501 A Widener                MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 81.4)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Dickinson               7-17     -10   -11           0.00
   225 H Susquehanna             9- 7       2     0    +      2.37
   229 N Geneseo                10- 9       1    -6    +++    7.09
   307 A Ithaca                  8-13      -5    -6           1.68
   310 H King's                  6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.68
   317 N Scranton                9-11      -2    -2           0.12
   321 A St. John Fisher         9-14      -5    -6           1.58
   331 H Elmira                 15- 9       6     5           0.82
   405 H Elizabethtown           8- 7  o    1     2          -1.57
   410 A Lebanon Valley          4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.59
   414 A Widener                 8-14      -6    -4          -1.02
   421 H Albright               11- 7       4     0    +      3.19
   425 H Messiah                13-12  o    1     0           0.41
   428 A Alvernia               11- 2       9    10          -1.00
   501 A Widener                 7-17     -10    -4    --    -5.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H King's                  6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.68
   410 A Lebanon Valley          4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.59
   501 A Widener                 7-17     -10    -4    --    -5.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 N Geneseo                10- 9       1    -6    +++    7.09
   225 H Susquehanna             9- 7       2     0    +      2.37
   421 H Albright               11- 7       4     0    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.34 Local Power Rank...........    75
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.99 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    80
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    93
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   103
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/