Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Terry Corcoran          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.7297668    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 A Shenandoah             CSAC          ( 2-14, 67.9)    16- 5   
 303 H Thiel                  Independent   ( 3-11, 61.6)    13- 2   
 306 A Washington College     Centennial    (11- 6, 85.2)     5-13   
 310 A Kean                   Skyline       (12- 6, 77.0)     1- 6   
 314 H Frostburg State        Capital       ( 2-15, 73.8)    12- 8   
 317 H Immaculata             CSAC          ( 3-12, 69.4)     9- 7   
 324 A Misericordia           MAC Freedom   (11- 5, 76.0)     5-10   
 327 H Whittier               Independent   ( 7- 6, 79.4)     3- 1   
 331 H Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 6, 74.8)     4- 5   
 405 A Lycoming               MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 77.3)     7- 8  o
 411 H Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 77.7)    10- 8   
 414 H Albright               MAC Commonwlt (16- 3, 77.5)     7-13   
 417 A Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 5-11, 65.6)    18- 4   
 421 A Drew                   Landmark      (13- 4, 80.4)     7-11   
 428 A Widener                MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 81.4)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Shenandoah             16- 5      11     6    +      3.10
   303 H Thiel                  13- 2      11    15           0.00
   306 A Washington College      5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   310 A Kean                    1- 6      -5    -2    -     -2.75
   314 H Frostburg State        12- 8       4     2           1.13
   317 H Immaculata              9- 7       2     7    --    -5.33
   324 A Misericordia            5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   327 H Whittier                3- 1       2    -2    ++     4.72
   331 H Lebanon Valley          4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.90
   405 A Lycoming                7- 8  o   -1    -2           1.57
   411 H Messiah                10- 8       2    -1    +      3.02
   414 H Albright                7-13      -6     0    --    -5.21
   417 A Alvernia               18- 4      14     9           0.83
   421 A Drew                    7-11      -4    -5           1.63
   428 A Widener                 5-11      -6    -6           0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Immaculata              9- 7       2     7    --    -5.33
   414 H Albright                7-13      -6     0    --    -5.21
   310 A Kean                    1- 6      -5    -2    -     -2.75
   324 A Misericordia            5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   331 H Lebanon Valley          4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Whittier                3- 1       2    -2    ++     4.72
   225 A Shenandoah             16- 5      11     6    +      3.10
   306 A Washington College      5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   411 H Messiah                10- 8       2    -1    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.73 Local Power Rank...........    93
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.32 Local SOS Rank.............   102
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   110
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   108
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/