Conf = Colonial                   Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Dragons                Coach  = Brian Voelker           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.1310730    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 H Virginia               ACC           (12- 4, 98.3)     8- 9   
 225 A Albany                 America East  ( 5-11, 92.2)    13- 8   
 228 A Villanova              Big East      ( 8- 7, 95.3)     9-14   
 303 H Notre Dame             Big East      (13- 3, 97.8)     5- 6   
 306 A Saint Joseph's         Colonial      ( 6- 9, 90.1)     8- 4   
 310 A Bryant                 Northeast     (14- 4, 96.2)     6- 7   
 313 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 96.8)    11-12   
 317 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6- 9, 92.3)    10- 7   
 324 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 6- 8, 95.2)     6- 5   
 331 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 6- 9, 93.8)    11- 8   
 407 H Penn State             Colonial      ( 9- 6, 95.7)     9-10   
 414 N Massachusetts          Colonial      (15- 1, 99.9)     6- 8   
 421 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7- 8, 92.3)    13- 5   
 428 H St. John's             Big East      ( 8- 7, 94.2)    10- 9   
 502 A Penn State             Colonial      ( 9- 6, 95.7)    13-11   
 505 A Massachusetts          Colonial      (15- 1, 99.9)    12-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Virginia                8- 9      -1     0          -0.07
   225 A Albany                 13- 8       5     2    +      2.27
   228 A Villanova               9-14      -5     0    --    -4.62
   303 H Notre Dame              5- 6      -1     0          -0.55
   306 A Saint Joseph's          8- 4       4     4          -0.87
   310 A Bryant                  6- 7      -1    -1           0.25
   313 H Bucknell               11-12      -1     0          -1.58
   317 A Mount St. Mary's       10- 7       3     2           0.34
   324 H Hofstra                 6- 5       1     2          -1.13
   331 A Delaware               11- 8       3     1           1.90
   407 H Penn State              9-10      -1     1    -     -2.63
   414 N Massachusetts           6- 8      -2    -3           1.77
   421 A Towson                 13- 5       8     2    ++     5.38
   428 H St. John's             10- 9       1     3    -     -2.17
   502 A Penn State             13-11       2     0    +      2.77
   505 A Massachusetts          12-18      -6    -4          -1.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Villanova               9-14      -5     0    --    -4.62
   407 H Penn State              9-10      -1     1    -     -2.63
   428 H St. John's             10- 9       1     3    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Towson                 13- 5       8     2    ++     5.38
   225 A Albany                 13- 8       5     2    +      2.27
   502 A Penn State             13-11       2     0    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.13 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 88.90 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/