Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Bearcats               Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5102539    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-10, 90.3)    10- 8   
 228 A Cornell                Ivy           ( 9- 4, 97.8)    12-17   
 303 A Hobart                 ECAC          ( 4- 9, 92.9)    10-15   
 310 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti (11- 5, 94.6)     9- 7   
 313 H Colgate                Patriot       (14- 4, 97.3)     8-17   
 317 A Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 5- 9, 88.7)    10-11   
 324 A Quinnipiac             Northeast     ( 3-11, 88.7)    11-12   
 331 A Albany                 America East  ( 5-11, 92.2)    11-12   
 403 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 89.7)    11- 7   
 407 H Stony Brook            America East  ( 7-10, 93.7)     5-13   
 414 A Hartford               America East  ( 6- 9, 93.5)     7-11   
 421 A Vermont                America East  ( 2-12, 89.6)     5-11   
 428 H UMBC                   America East  ( 5- 8, 91.5)    15- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Lafayette              10- 8       2     1           0.55
   228 A Cornell                12-17      -5    -8    +      3.53
   303 A Hobart                 10-15      -5    -3          -1.45
   310 H Siena                   9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.89
   313 H Colgate                 8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.38
   317 A Manhattan              10-11      -1     0          -1.66
   324 A Quinnipiac             11-12      -1     0          -1.62
   331 A Albany                 11-12      -1    -2           1.89
   403 H Canisius               11- 7       4     2           1.97
   407 H Stony Brook             5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.98
   414 A Hartford                7-11      -4    -4           0.18
   421 A Vermont                 5-11      -6     0    --    -5.72
   428 H UMBC                   15- 8       7     0    +++    6.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Stony Brook             5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.98
   421 A Vermont                 5-11      -6     0    --    -5.72
   313 H Colgate                 8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H UMBC                   15- 8       7     0    +++    6.79
   310 H Siena                   9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.89
   228 A Cornell                12-17      -5    -8    +      3.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.51 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.09 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/