Conf = Northeast 10               Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jim Murphy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0773315    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 A C.W. Post              East Coast    ( 6- 6, 85.1)     7-13   
 314 A NYIT                   East Coast    (13- 3, 87.1)     5-13   
 324 H Pace                   Northeast 10  ( 5-10, 81.3)     9- 2   
 327 A Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  (11- 5, 86.7)     7-14   
 404 A Saint Anselm           Northeast 10  ( 8- 7, 83.5)     6- 8   
 407 H Dowling                East Coast    (13- 2, 90.2)     6- 7   
 410 H Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 3-11, 76.4)    10- 5   
 414 H Le Moyne               Northeast 10  (17- 1, 90.1)     5- 9   
 417 A S. New Hampshire       Northeast 10  ( 3-11, 80.0)    10- 7   
 421 N Merrimack              Northeast 10  (13- 3, 87.6)    11-12   
 423 H Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 7- 6, 81.4)     9- 8   
 425 A American International Northeast 10  ( 0-14, 74.0)    12- 5   
 428 A Adelphi                Northeast 10  (13- 3, 88.8)     4-17   
 501 A Adelphi                Northeast 10  (13- 3, 88.8)     4- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A C.W. Post               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.91
   314 A NYIT                    5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.95
   324 H Pace                    9- 2       7     2    ++     4.21
   327 A Saint Michael's         7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.38
   404 A Saint Anselm            6- 8      -2    -1          -0.57
   407 H Dowling                 6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.07
   410 H Assumption             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.70
   414 H Le Moyne                5- 9      -4    -5           1.99
   417 A S. New Hampshire       10- 7       3     2           0.97
   421 N Merrimack              11-12      -1    -4    +      3.51
   423 H Franklin Pierce         9- 8       1     2          -1.70
   425 A American International 12- 5       7     8          -1.06
   428 A Adelphi                 4-17     -13    -6    -     -3.24
   501 A Adelphi                 4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A C.W. Post               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.91
   314 A NYIT                    5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.95
   327 A Saint Michael's         7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.38
   410 H Assumption             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.70
   428 A Adelphi                 4-17     -13    -6    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Pace                    9- 2       7     2    ++     4.21
   407 H Dowling                 6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.07
   501 A Adelphi                 4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.76
   421 N Merrimack              11-12      -1    -4    +      3.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.08 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.77 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/