Conf = North Coast                Region = South        State = OH
   Nickname = Fighting Scots         Coach  = Carl Festa (interim)    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.7094040    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 H Aurora                 Midwest       (11- 6, 73.8)     9- 2   
 313 A Mary Washington        Capital       (11- 6, 84.5)     4-14   
 316 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 4-11, 82.1)     5- 9   
 319 A Gwynedd-Mercy          CSAC          ( 6- 9, 74.9)     7- 5   
 322 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 9- 5, 80.9)    13-15   
 324 H Colorado College       SCAC          (15- 1, 83.2)     4-10   
 326 A Denison                North Coast   (11- 4, 88.2)     1-12   
 402 A Adrian                 Midwest       (15- 3, 82.7)     3-15   
 406 H Washington & Jefferson Independent   ( 5-10, 75.0)     7- 6   
 409 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (10- 4, 85.7)     9-10 6o
 413 A Oberlin                North Coast   ( 7- 9, 74.2)     9- 5   
 422 H Wittenberg             North Coast   (14- 2, 84.2)     3-11   
 424 H Whittier               Independent   ( 4- 7, 81.1)     2- 5   
 430 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 5- 9, 79.4)     6- 5 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Aurora                  9- 2       7     5           1.74
   313 A Mary Washington         4-14     -10    -8          -1.86
   316 A Swarthmore              5- 9      -4    -5           1.69
   319 A Gwynedd-Mercy           7- 5       2     1           0.57
   322 A Saint Vincent          13-15      -2    -4    +      2.57
   324 H Colorado College        4-10      -6    -4          -1.82
   326 A Denison                 1-12     -11   -11           0.00
   402 A Adrian                  3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.64
   406 H Washington & Jefferson  7- 6       1     4    -     -3.04
   409 H Ohio Wesleyan           9-10 6o   -1    -6    ++     5.64
   413 A Oberlin                 9- 5       4     2           1.83
   422 H Wittenberg              3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.86
   424 H Whittier                2- 5      -3    -2          -0.93
   430 H Kenyon                  6- 5 2o    1     0           1.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Adrian                  3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.64
   406 H Washington & Jefferson  7- 6       1     4    -     -3.04
   422 H Wittenberg              3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Ohio Wesleyan           9-10 6o   -1    -6    ++     5.64
   322 A Saint Vincent          13-15      -2    -4    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.71 Local Power Rank...........    95
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.85 Local SOS Rank.............    66
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    79
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   178
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   129
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/