Conf = SCAC                       Region = South        State = TX
   Nickname = Pirates                Coach  = Joe Ernst               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.5934448    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Dallas                 Independent   ( 4-10, 56.1)    24- 2   
 225 A Christopher Newport    Independent   ( 7- 8, 80.2)     5-11   
 227 A Randolph-Macon         Old Dominion  ( 8- 7, 82.7)     1-18   
 303 H Grand Canyon           WILA          ( 4-10, 71.8)    11- 5   
 307 N Marymount              Capital       ( 2-14, 77.5)     7-15   
 310 H Trine                  Midwest       (10- 4, 76.3)     5-13   
 313 H Berry                  Independent   ( 5- 9, 70.3)    10- 7   
 315 H Rensselaer             Liberty       (11- 6, 87.1)     3-18   
 318 A Centre                 SCAC          ( 3-10, 66.3)    12-10   
 320 A Sewanee                SCAC          ( 7- 8, 76.2)     5-10   
 402 N Colorado College       SCAC          (15- 1, 83.2)     2-22   
 403 A Millsaps               SCAC          ( 0-12, 53.3)    16- 1   
 408 H Birmingham-Southern    SCAC          ( 9- 7, 79.1)     5-20   
 410 H Oglethorpe             SCAC          ( 3-10, 56.8)    23- 3   
 417 H Hendrix                SCAC          ( 5- 7, 69.0)     9- 8 2o
 422 A Colorado College       SCAC          (15- 1, 83.2)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Dallas                 24- 2      22    15           0.00
   225 A Christopher Newport     5-11      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   227 A Randolph-Macon          1-18     -17   -13           0.00
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5       6     0          n/a  
   307 N Marymount               7-15      -8    -6          -1.14
   310 H Trine                   5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.66
   313 H Berry                  10- 7       3     1           1.42
   315 H Rensselaer              3-18     -15   -15           0.00
   318 A Centre                 12-10       2     3          -1.01
   320 A Sewanee                 5-10      -5    -6           1.97
   402 N Colorado College        2-22     -20   -12           0.00
   403 A Millsaps               16- 1      15    15           0.00
   408 H Birmingham-Southern     5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.78
   410 H Oglethorpe             23- 3      20    15           0.00
   417 H Hendrix                 9- 8 2o    1     2          -1.98
   422 A Colorado College        4-10      -6   -13    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5   
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5   
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5   
   310 H Trine                   5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.66
   408 H Birmingham-Southern     5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5   
   225 A Christopher Newport     5-11      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5   
   422 A Colorado College        4-10      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   303 H Grand Canyon           11- 5   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.59 Local Power Rank...........   142
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.25 Local SOS Rank.............   132
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   130
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   142
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   128
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/