Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3087387    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A Jacksonville           Independent   ( 6- 7, 91.9)    11- 5   
 213 H Bryant                 Independent   (12- 5, 92.9)     5- 4   
 220 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 8- 7, 90.0)    17- 5   
 225 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 7- 8, 93.4)    11- 4   
 306 A UMBC                   America East  ( 4- 9, 91.2)    12- 7   
 310 A Duke                   ACC           (16- 4, 98.5)    13- 7   
 316 H Princeton              Ivy League    (11- 5, 94.8)    12-11   
 319 H Dartmouth              Ivy League    ( 5- 8, 90.9)    15- 6   
 327 H Maryland               ACC           (12- 4, 97.6)     9- 7   
 403 A Johns Hopkins          Independent   ( 7- 8, 94.9)    11- 7   
 410 N Virginia               ACC           (16- 2, 99.9)     5- 7   
 417 A Robert Morris          Independent   (10- 5, 92.8)    17-14   
 423 A Maryland               ACC           (12- 4, 97.6)     5-13   
 508 H Ohio State             ECAC          ( 7- 8, 92.6)    19-13   
 516 H Delaware               Colonial      (10- 7, 94.4)    14-13   
 522 N Duke                   ACC           (16- 4, 98.5)     9-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Jacksonville           11- 5       6     4           1.79
   213 H Bryant                  5- 4       1     5    --    -4.60
   220 H Lehigh                 17- 5      12     8           1.44
   225 A Navy                   11- 4       7     2    ++     4.33
   306 A UMBC                   12- 7       5     4           0.15
   310 A Duke                   13- 7       6    -2    +++    8.41
   316 H Princeton              12-11       1     3    -     -2.75
   319 H Dartmouth              15- 6       9     7           1.39
   327 H Maryland                9- 7       2     0           1.03
   403 A Johns Hopkins          11- 7       4     1    +      2.85
   410 N Virginia                5- 7      -2    -2           0.59
   417 A Robert Morris          17-14       3     3          -0.29
   423 A Maryland                5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.51
   508 H Ohio State             19-13       6     5           0.11
   516 H Delaware               14-13       1     4    -     -3.13
   522 N Duke                    9-17      -8    -1    ---   -6.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Maryland                5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.51
   522 N Duke                    9-17      -8    -1    ---   -6.82
   213 H Bryant                  5- 4       1     5    --    -4.60
   316 H Princeton              12-11       1     3    -     -2.75
   516 H Delaware               14-13       1     4    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Duke                   13- 7       6    -2    +++    8.41
   225 A Navy                   11- 4       7     2    ++     4.33
   403 A Johns Hopkins          11- 7       4     1    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.31 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.96 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/