Conf = Independent                Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Bear Davis              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7893066    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Penn State             Colonial      ( 2-11, 90.9)    24-17   
 227 A Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 7- 9, 87.9)    13-12   
 306 A VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 2-13, 84.7)    19- 8   
 309 H Ohio State             ECAC          ( 7- 8, 92.6)    12- 7   
 313 H Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 85.6)    15- 6   
 316 H Mount St. Mary's       Metro Atlanti (12- 5, 91.4)    13-19   
 321 A Bellarmine             ECAC          ( 9- 6, 89.5)    15-18   
 327 H Jacksonville           Independent   ( 6- 7, 91.9)    18-17   
 403 H Air Force              ECAC          ( 1-13, 87.8)    13- 7   
 406 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 86.9)    17-11   
 410 H Bryant                 Independent   (12- 5, 92.9)    14-15 2o
 417 H North Carolina         ACC           (13- 3, 97.3)    14-17   
 424 A Sacred Heart           Independent   ( 4-11, 88.2)    12-10   
 501 A Virginia               ACC           (16- 2, 99.9)     9-18   
 505 A Wagner                 Metro Atlanti ( 1-14, 81.4)    22- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Penn State             24-17       7     0    +++    6.34
   227 A Manhattan              13-12       1     3    -     -2.65
   306 A VMI                    19- 8      11     6    +      3.17
   309 H Ohio State             12- 7       5     1    +      3.63
   313 H Detroit                15- 6       9     8           0.59
   316 H Mount St. Mary's       13-19      -6     2    ---   -8.65
   321 A Bellarmine             15-18      -3     2    --    -5.04
   327 H Jacksonville           18-17       1     2          -1.15
   403 H Air Force              13- 7       6     6          -0.18
   406 H Canisius               17-11       6     7          -1.08
   410 H Bryant                 14-15 2o   -1     1    -     -2.08
   417 H North Carolina         14-17      -3    -3           0.29
   424 A Sacred Heart           12-10       2     3          -1.38
   501 A Virginia                9-18      -9    -8          -0.66
   505 A Wagner                 22- 4      18    10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Mount St. Mary's       13-19      -6     2    ---   -8.65
   321 A Bellarmine             15-18      -3     2    --    -5.04
   227 A Manhattan              13-12       1     3    -     -2.65
   410 H Bryant                 14-15 2o   -1     1    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Penn State             24-17       7     0    +++    6.34
   306 A VMI                    19- 8      11     6    +      3.17
   309 H Ohio State             12- 7       5     1    +      3.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.79 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.09 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/