Conf = Middle Atlantic            Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Valiants               Coach  = Todd Hodgson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8229980    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H Drew                   Landmark      ( 8- 7, 82.3)    10-11  o
 308 H Vassar                 Liberty       ( 4-10, 80.7)    10- 9  o
 311 A Merchant Marine        Landmark      ( 7- 8, 81.3)     4-12   
 319 H Union                  Liberty       (11- 4, 86.4)     1- 9   
 323 H Fairleigh Dickinson    Middle Atlant (11- 6, 81.8)    11- 7   
 325 H Trinity                NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 86.2)     2-10   
 327 H Alvernia               Middle Atlant ( 4-13, 67.3)    17- 4   
 401 A DeSales                Middle Atlant ( 6-10, 79.4)     7- 9   
 407 A King's                 Middle Atlant ( 6- 9, 77.2)     7- 8  o
 410 H Lebanon Valley         Middle Atlant ( 2-13, 69.2)     8- 5   
 414 A Eastern                Middle Atlant (11- 5, 81.1)     9-10   
 417 H Elizabethtown          Middle Atlant (12- 4, 82.4)     8- 9   
 421 H Misericordia           Middle Atlant ( 4-12, 71.7)    15- 9   
 424 A Messiah                Middle Atlant ( 9- 8, 81.1)     3- 8   
 427 H Widener                Middle Atlant (10-10, 82.5)     3- 9   
 501 A Lycoming               Middle Atlant (11- 6, 83.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Drew                   10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.10
   308 H Vassar                 10- 9  o    1    -1    +      2.55
   311 A Merchant Marine         4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.16
   319 H Union                   1- 9      -8    -7          -0.81
   323 H Fairleigh Dickinson    11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.65
   325 H Trinity                 2-10      -8    -6          -1.00
   327 H Alvernia               17- 4      13    11           0.00
   401 A DeSales                 7- 9      -2    -2           0.90
   407 A King's                  7- 8  o   -1     0          -0.32
   410 H Lebanon Valley          8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.94
   414 A Eastern                 9-10      -1    -4    +      3.58
   417 H Elizabethtown           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.27
   421 H Misericordia           15- 9       6     7          -1.43
   424 A Messiah                 3- 8      -5    -4          -0.32
   427 H Widener                 3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.64
   501 A Lycoming                5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Lebanon Valley          8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.94
   311 A Merchant Marine         4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.16
   427 H Widener                 3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.64
   501 A Lycoming                5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Fairleigh Dickinson    11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.65
   304 H Drew                   10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.10
   308 H Vassar                 10- 9  o    1    -1    +      2.55
   414 A Eastern                 9-10      -1    -4    +      3.58
   417 H Elizabethtown           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.82 Local Power Rank...........    98
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.13 Local SOS Rank.............    82
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   114
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   149
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/