Conf = Metro Atlantic             Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Red Foxes              Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0892487    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Sacred Heart           Independent   ( 4-11, 88.2)    11-10  o
 302 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 5-10, 90.2)    11- 8   
 306 A Vermont                America East  ( 3-13, 89.4)    13-11   
 313 H Binghamton             America East  ( 4-10, 89.2)     9-15   
 316 A Rutgers                Big East      ( 6- 8, 92.0)     9-10   
 320 A VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 2-13, 84.7)     8- 7  o
 327 H Saint Joseph's         Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 84.1)    15- 9   
 403 H Wagner                 Metro Atlanti ( 1-14, 81.4)    13- 6   
 406 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 8- 6, 92.9)     7-13   
 410 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 86.9)     9- 6   
 421 A Siena                  Metro Atlanti (12- 5, 90.8)     4-14   
 424 A Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 85.6)    13- 6   
 428 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 7- 9, 87.9)     6-10   
 501 H Mount St. Mary's       Metro Atlanti (12- 5, 91.4)     9-13   
 507 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti (12- 5, 90.8)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Sacred Heart           11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.32
   302 H Holy Cross             11- 8       3     0    +      3.93
   306 A Vermont                13-11       2    -2    ++     4.59
   313 H Binghamton              9-15      -6     0    ---   -6.13
   316 A Rutgers                 9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.16
   320 A VMI                     8- 7  o    1     2          -1.13
   327 H Saint Joseph's         15- 9       6     5           0.76
   403 H Wagner                 13- 6       7     7          -0.91
   406 H Lafayette               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.39
   410 A Canisius                9- 6       3     0    +      3.08
   421 A Siena                   4-14     -10    -3    ---   -6.11
   424 A Detroit                13- 6       7     1    ++     5.75
   428 H Manhattan               6-10      -4     1    --    -5.41
   501 H Mount St. Mary's        9-13      -4    -2          -1.95
   507 H Siena                   7- 9      -2    -1          -0.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Binghamton              9-15      -6     0    ---   -6.13
   421 A Siena                   4-14     -10    -3    ---   -6.11
   428 H Manhattan               6-10      -4     1    --    -5.41
   406 H Lafayette               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Vermont                13-11       2    -2    ++     4.59
   316 A Rutgers                 9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.16
   424 A Detroit                13- 6       7     1    ++     5.75
   227 A Sacred Heart           11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.32
   302 H Holy Cross             11- 8       3     0    +      3.93
   410 A Canisius                9- 6       3     0    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.09 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.59 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    48
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/