2009 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cortland SUNYAC 19 2 2 6 1 1 1 1 3 13.00 2 Stevenson Capital 17 2 3 5 2 2 3 2 7 9.00 3 Gettysburg Centennial 16 4 8 1 3 3 2 3 8 2.00 4 Western New Engl Commonwealth 17 3 12 45 6 6 5 5 16 0.10 5 Middlebury NESCAC 15 3 10 4 4 4 9 4 17 1.00 6 Salisbury Capital 16 4 1 13 8 5 7 7 19 37.00 7 Wesleyan NESCAC 15 4 15 15 7 7 10 6 23 2.00 8 Tufts NESCAC 13 5 9 11 17 8 6 11 25 5.00 9 Haverford Centennial 13 4 18 8 11 11 13 10 34 1.00 10 Denison North Coast 14 3 7 26 9 12 16 12 40 3.00 11 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 16 4 14 36 15 17 11 14 42 0.10 12 St. Lawrence Liberty 13 4 17 18 19 13 14 17 44 0.10 13 Nazareth Empire 8 11 7 28 9 28 16 4 26 46 0.10 14 Bowdoin NESCAC 10 6 19 3 24 14 12 21 47 2.00 15 Roanoke Old Dominion 17 2 6 40 5 10 29 9 48 6.00 16 Lynchburg Old Dominion 11 5 21 16 14 22 8 20 50 0.10 17 Cabrini CSAC 15 4 11 65 16 20 17 16 53 3.00 18 Endicott Commonwealth 18 4 22 60 12 18 21 15 54 0.10 19 Ithaca Empire 8 14 2 16 25 13 9 32 13 54 1.00 20 Eastern Connecti Little East 15 4 35 61 20 19 19 19 57 0.10 21 Geneseo SUNYAC 13 2 5 42 10 15 37 8 60 13.00 22 Stevens Empire 8 12 6 23 23 42 21 15 34 70 0.10 23 Clarkson Liberty 10 5 25 17 22 23 28 24 75 0.10 24 Williams NESCAC 7 7 32 2 45 24 18 35 77 0.10 25 Montclair State Skyline 13 5 41 62 23 27 33 22 82 0.10 26 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 10 5 20 46 21 33 27 23 83 0.10 27 Springfield Pilgrim 12 7 30 66 36 34 23 32 89 0.10 28 Colby NESCAC 8 7 40 14 37 28 24 38 90 0.10 29 Trinity NESCAC 10 6 26 28 29 30 34 27 91 0.10 30 Fairleigh Dickin Middle Atlanti 13 5 43 74 27 31 30 31 92 0.10 31 St. Mary's Capital 8 7 39 19 32 35 22 36 93 0.10 32 St. John Fisher Empire 8 15 3 27 72 18 26 60 18 104 0.10 33 Wesley Capital 11 6 42 47 30 37 44 29 110 0.10 34 Roger Williams Commonwealth 13 5 48 99 33 38 46 28 112 0.10 35 Merchant Marine Landmark 11 6 53 53 50 29 40 48 117 0.10 36 RIT Empire 8 10 6 13 31 51 25 51 44 120 0.10 37 Washington Colle Centennial 9 7 34 22 44 36 45 40 121 2.00 38 Keene State Little East 9 4 47 73 26 32 68 25 125 0.10 39 Mary Washington Capital 8 7 52 27 41 41 41 47 129 0.10 40 Colorado College Independent 9 6 24 54 25 39 59 33 131 0.10 41 Amherst NESCAC 6 8 49 10 64 40 36 57 133 0.10 42 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 8 9 61 29 67 46 20 69 135 0.10 43 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 9 8 45 43 56 42 31 62 135 0.10 44 York Capital 8 7 58 44 54 50 47 52 149 0.10 45 Widener Middle Atlanti 10 9 50 57 72 44 25 81 150 0.10 46 Oswego SUNYAC 8 9 70 33 71 53 26 75 154 0.10 47 Maritime Skyline 7 7 80 69 74 49 50 63 162 0.10 48 Kenyon North Coast 8 6 37 55 39 52 64 53 169 0.10 49 McDaniel Centennial 10 6 31 30 49 51 75 43 169 0.10 50 Skidmore Liberty 9 6 33 38 53 48 71 50 169 0.10 51 Salve Regina Commonwealth 11 6 67 92 52 54 73 45 172 0.10 52 Drew Landmark 9 8 60 51 77 47 42 84 173 0.10 53 Mount Ida North Atlantic 13 7 91 137 60 61 53 59 173 0.10 54 Scranton Landmark 9 7 66 67 65 56 57 60 173 0.10 55 Bates NESCAC 4 9 73 12 86 58 39 80 177 0.10 56 Whittier Independent 7 7 4 64 63 43 80 55 178 0.10 57 Wooster North Coast 7 6 55 50 47 55 70 56 181 0.10 58 New England Coll Commonwealth 11 8 97 110 84 66 43 74 183 0.10 59 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 12 4 38 118 31 57 98 30 185 0.10 60 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 11 5 54 91 40 63 87 39 189 0.10 61 Dickinson Centennial 6 8 56 21 82 60 52 78 190 0.10 62 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 4 9 62 7 90 62 35 94 191 0.10 63 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 7 7 71 59 61 67 61 64 192 0.10 64 Kean Skyline 12 8 64 81 78 45 63 87 195 0.10 65 Goucher Landmark 10 5 46 80 48 59 92 49 200 0.10 66 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 6 9 51 35 87 71 49 83 203 0.10 67 Muhlenberg Centennial 5 8 59 20 92 64 54 91 209 0.10 68 Brockport SUNYAC 5 7 87 56 66 69 76 72 217 0.10 69 Oneonta SUNYAC 6 10 84 41 109 75 38 105 218 0.10 70 Stockton Skyline 9 5 68 111 43 68 104 46 218 0.10 71 Ursinus Centennial 6 9 63 24 95 72 58 93 223 0.10 72 Hartwick Empire 8 6 8 69 49 100 74 55 95 224 0.10 73 Utica Empire 8 8 7 75 78 76 82 74 71 227 0.10 74 Alfred Empire 8 8 7 83 86 73 79 91 66 236 0.10 75 Greensboro Independent 10 5 36 103 35 70 128 41 239 0.10 76 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 7 7 103 101 80 83 79 77 239 0.10 77 Rensselaer Liberty 6 8 65 48 91 84 72 86 242 0.10 78 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 8 4 114 148 38 76 125 42 243 0.10 79 Castleton North Atlantic 12 7 115 145 68 81 96 67 244 0.10 80 Swarthmore Centennial 6 8 57 37 93 77 83 90 250 0.10 81 Adrian Independent 8 6 78 107 55 88 106 61 255 0.10 82 Wittenberg North Coast 7 6 29 76 46 78 132 51 261 0.10 83 Union Liberty 8 7 44 32 62 65 134 65 264 0.10 84 Marywood CSAC 10 7 95 131 59 99 97 70 266 0.10 85 Potsdam SUNYAC 4 9 76 52 94 86 77 103 266 0.10 86 Gordon Commonwealth 4 11 99 71 133 89 48 132 269 0.10 87 Johnson State North Atlantic 7 5 135 150 58 87 127 58 272 0.10 88 Marymount Capital 5 8 72 68 83 98 89 85 272 0.10 89 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 7 10 101 106 120 100 66 110 276 0.10 90 Wheaton Pilgrim 8 8 89 94 101 80 101 98 279 0.10 91 Southern Maine Little East 11 7 77 116 75 73 131 76 280 0.10 92 Messiah Middle Atlanti 7 7 74 98 88 94 102 88 284 0.10 93 Western Connecti Little East 4 11 102 79 134 96 56 133 285 0.10 94 DeSales Middle Atlanti 6 10 96 84 127 91 69 128 288 0.10 95 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 9 7 106 124 79 90 121 79 290 0.10 96 Manhattanville Middle Atlanti 6 9 98 82 117 92 82 119 293 0.10 97 Mass-Dartmouth Little East 6 9 108 95 118 93 84 116 293 0.10 98 Eastern Middle Atlanti 7 8 88 104 98 105 94 96 295 0.10 99 Keuka North Eastern 8 7 82 117 70 104 119 73 296 0.10 100 Saint Vincent Independent 5 9 94 70 110 97 86 117 300 0.10 101 Catholic Landmark 8 8 86 115 97 95 107 100 302 0.10 102 Christopher Newp Independent 8 7 92 96 81 103 117 82 302 0.10 103 Becker Independent 9 4 137 153 34 117 151 37 305 0.10 104 Plymouth State Little East 7 9 79 114 104 85 124 97 306 0.10 105 Hamilton Liberty 3 10 90 39 122 102 78 129 309 0.10 106 Guilford Old Dominion 3 12 128 58 136 108 65 138 311 0.10 107 Emerson North Atlantic 7 6 144 154 69 115 135 68 318 0.10 108 Elmira Empire 8 1 13 119 34 155 110 62 150 322 0.10 109 Washington & Jef Independent 8 5 105 141 57 121 150 54 325 0.10 110 Vassar Liberty 6 9 93 89 114 106 108 113 327 0.10 111 Babson Pilgrim 5 11 111 85 135 107 90 134 331 0.10 112 Centenary CSAC 6 9 129 125 113 118 99 114 331 0.10 113 Moravian Landmark 4 12 110 77 142 109 81 141 331 0.10 114 Trine Independent 6 9 104 108 111 112 110 112 334 0.10 115 Mount St. Joseph Independent 6 9 109 109 106 119 105 111 335 0.10 116 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 3 13 113 63 145 122 67 146 335 0.10 117 Lasell Pilgrim 5 10 112 88 128 114 95 127 336 0.10 118 Birmingham-South Independent 6 9 117 121 112 120 113 107 340 0.10 119 Nichols Commonwealth 5 10 127 132 129 125 93 124 342 0.10 120 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 6 10 81 97 102 101 142 101 344 0.10 121 Salem State Little East 6 10 100 130 119 111 115 118 344 0.10 122 Susquehanna Landmark 5 11 116 90 138 113 100 137 350 0.10 123 MIT Pilgrim 7 8 85 127 89 116 152 89 357 0.10 124 Fontbonne Independent 4 8 118 100 107 124 126 108 358 0.10 125 Thomas North Atlantic 4 9 148 146 126 123 111 126 360 0.10 126 Hood Capital 1 13 141 75 141 134 88 140 362 0.10 127 Curry Commonwealth 2 13 123 105 152 135 85 147 367 0.10 128 Sewanee Independent 4 10 124 93 131 127 116 131 374 0.10 129 Morrisville SUNYAC 4 12 125 102 132 130 109 136 375 0.10 130 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 7 9 121 133 99 128 139 109 376 0.10 131 Medaille North Eastern 7 9 107 134 103 126 148 102 376 0.10 132 Shenandoah CSAC 5 7 122 136 85 137 147 92 376 0.10 133 Husson North Atlantic 4 9 146 149 123 129 130 122 381 0.10 134 Norwich Pilgrim 4 9 143 143 125 131 129 125 385 0.10 135 King's Middle Atlanti 3 12 126 112 143 132 112 142 386 0.10 136 Cazenovia North Eastern 6 8 120 139 105 139 146 104 389 0.10 137 Immaculata CSAC 4 9 130 129 116 136 136 120 392 0.10 138 Mass-Boston Little East 2 12 136 119 146 138 114 143 395 0.10 139 Misericordia Middle Atlanti 3 12 131 113 144 133 118 144 395 0.10 140 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 5 8 134 144 108 143 149 106 398 0.10 141 Neumann CSAC 2 13 139 120 150 140 103 155 398 0.10 142 Randolph Independent 0 8 149 87 121 145 133 121 399 0.10 143 Carthage Independent 3 7 133 140 96 148 153 99 400 0.10 144 Lyndon State North Atlantic 4 9 153 152 124 141 137 123 401 0.10 145 Oberlin North Coast 0 12 138 83 140 146 122 145 413 0.10 146 Alvernia Middle Atlanti 3 13 142 126 154 142 120 154 416 0.10 147 St. Joseph's (ME North Atlantic 4 13 151 147 153 144 123 153 420 0.10 148 Daniel Webster Independent 2 8 152 155 115 152 154 115 421 0.10 149 Cobleskill North Eastern 2 11 140 128 139 149 144 139 432 0.10 150 Green Mountain North Atlantic 1 12 155 151 147 151 138 148 437 0.10 151 Anna Maria Independent 1 10 150 142 130 154 155 130 439 0.10 152 Hendrix Independent 0 12 145 122 148 150 141 151 442 0.10 153 Clark Pilgrim 2 13 132 123 156 147 140 156 443 0.10 154 Mitchell Independent 0 10 156 156 137 156 156 135 447 0.10 155 PSU - Abington Independent 1 12 147 138 149 153 145 149 447 0.10 156 Wells North Eastern 0 12 154 135 151 155 143 152 450 0.10