Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Steve Beville           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.4066315    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 N Western New England    Commonwealth  (17- 3, 90.5)    15- 8   
 304 H Montclair State        Skyline       (13- 5, 83.5)    16- 4   
 307 N Gettysburg             Centennial    (16- 4, 92.7)    14- 8   
 314 N Clarkson               Liberty       (10- 5, 86.8)    13-11   
 321 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (14- 2, 89.6)     8-11   
 325 A Nazareth               Empire 8      (11- 7, 86.4)    17-10   
 328 H RIT                    Empire 8      (10- 6, 90.3)    11- 6   
 404 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4- 9, 77.7)    11- 5   
 408 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 2, 93.5)     6- 8   
 411 A Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 9- 8, 83.0)    12- 8   
 415 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 8- 9, 78.4)    12- 2   
 418 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 6-10, 77.3)    18- 8   
 421 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 5- 7, 76.6)    14- 2   
 423 H St. Lawrence           Liberty       (13- 4, 89.1)    13- 4   
 426 A Morrisville            SUNYAC        ( 4-12, 67.5)    22- 0   
 429 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 8- 9, 78.4)    25- 3   
 502 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 2, 93.5)    14-13   
 509 H Springfield            Pilgrim       (12- 7, 85.9)    15-12   
 513 H Western New England    Commonwealth  (17- 3, 90.5)     6- 5   
 517 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (15- 3, 90.8)    16- 8   
 524 N Gettysburg             Centennial    (16- 4, 92.7)     9- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Western New England    15- 8       7     4    +      2.88
   304 H Montclair State        16- 4      12    12           0.00
   307 N Gettysburg             14- 8       6     1    ++     4.08
   314 N Clarkson               13-11       2     7    --    -5.75
   321 H Ithaca                  8-11      -3     6    ---   -9.44
   325 A Nazareth               17-10       7     6           0.27
   328 H RIT                    11- 6       5     5          -0.74
   404 H Potsdam                11- 5       6    18    --    -4.00
   408 A Geneseo                 6- 8      -2     0          -1.60
   411 A Plattsburgh            12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   415 H Oswego                 12- 2      10    17           0.00
   418 A Oneonta                18- 8      10    15           0.00
   421 H Brockport              14- 2      12    19           0.00
   423 H St. Lawrence           13- 4       9     6    +      2.04
   426 A Morrisville            22- 0      22    25           0.00
   429 H Oswego                 25- 3      22    17           0.00
   502 A Geneseo                14-13       1     0           1.40
   509 H Springfield            15-12       3    10    ---   -7.00
   513 H Western New England     6- 5       1     5    --    -4.57
   517 H Middlebury             16- 8       8     5    +      2.81
   524 N Gettysburg              9- 7       2     1           0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Ithaca                  8-11      -3     6    ---   -9.44
   411 A Plattsburgh            12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   509 H Springfield            15-12       3    10    ---   -7.00
   314 N Clarkson               13-11       2     7    --    -5.75
   404 H Potsdam                11- 5       6    18    --    -4.00
   513 H Western New England     6- 5       1     5    --    -4.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 N Gettysburg             14- 8       6     1    ++     4.08
   228 N Western New England    15- 8       7     4    +      2.88
   423 H St. Lawrence           13- 4       9     6    +      2.04
   517 H Middlebury             16- 8       8     5    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.57 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.33 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
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